Saturday, April 30, 2016

Target Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jordan Zimmermann vs. Tyler Duffey

The Detroit Tigers visit Target Field on Saturday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Jordan Zimmermann for the Tigers and Tyler Duffey for the Twins. The Tigers have a 14-7-0 over/under record and a 12-9-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 57% of the time. The Twins are 11-11-0 against the run line and have a 9-12-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.

The Tigers head into this matchup with a 11-10 record, including 6-4 on the road. Starting pitcher Jordan Zimmermann has a 4-0 record with an earned run average of 0.35 and a WHIP of 1.12. He has 16 strikeouts over his 26 innings pitched and he has given up 22 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.68. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.08 and they have given up 74 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the bullpen while being struck out 51 times and walking 20 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.29 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.93 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 3.90. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 193 base hits and 81 earned runs. They have allowed 18 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 74 batters and struck out 144. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 6.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.05.

As a team, Detroit is batting .258, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .265 average away from home. The Tigers hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.9 hits per game. Miguel Cabrera comes into this game hitting .275 and his on-base percentage is at .348. He has 22 hits this season along with 11 runs scored and 11 runs batted in. He's struck out 17 times and has walked 9 times. Ian Kinsler is hitting .345 and he has an on-base percentage of .376. He has totaled 30 hits so far while scoring 20 runs and he's driven in 13. He has walked 4 times and has struck out 17 times. The Tigers have 187 hits, including 34 doubles and 25 home runs. They've stolen 4 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Detroit has walked 59 times this season and they've struck out 189 times as a unit. They've left 142 men on base and have a team OPS of .730. They score 4.57 runs per contest and have scored a total of 96 runs so far this year.

Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 6-5 home record and a 7-15 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.25, Tyler Duffey has a 0-0 record and a 1.75 WHIP. He has 1 strikeouts over the 4 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 5 hits. He has allowed 11.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 7.35. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.97 and they have given up 69 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 82 times and walking 32 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 8.89 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.07 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 3.88. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 195 base knocks and 85 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 23 home runs this year and they give up 1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 69 hitters and struck out 177. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 3.95.

As a team, they are batting .242, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .260 average at home. The Twins hold a .388 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.36 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .316 and he has an OBP of .459. He has 24 hits this year along with 8 runs scored and 7 RBI. He's struck out 8 times and has walked on 20 occasions. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .392 and he has an OBP of .439. He has collected 20 hits so far while he's scored 9 runs and drove in 8. He has earned a walk 2 times and has punched out 9 times. The Twins as a unit have 184 base hits, including 43 doubles and 20 homers. They have 14 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 76 times this year and they have struck out 201 times. They've had 172 men left on base and have an OPS of .703. They score 3.5 runs per game and have totaled 77 runs so far this season.

Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 14-7-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Detroit Tigers are 12-9-0 against the run line so far this season

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 9-12-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Minnesota Twins are 11-11-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Detroit Tigers

04/28/16 P Shane Greene Finger 15-day DL (4/25)
04/12/16 C James McCann Ankle 15-day DL (4/12)
04/04/16 CF Cameron Maybin Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Daniel Norris Back 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)

Minnesota Twins

04/27/16 P Ervin Santana Back 15-day DL (4/20)
04/27/16 P Kyle Gibson Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
04/18/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Side 15-day DL (4/18)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)

Tony's Pick: Take the Tigers

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