Tuesday, April 5, 2016

Marlins Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Justin Verlander vs. Wei-Yin Chen

The Detroit Tigers visit Marlins Park on Tuesday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Justin Verlander for the Tigers and Wei-Yin Chen for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at -110 and Miami at +100. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Tigers had a 85-68-8 over/under record last season and a 76-85-0 run line mark, meaning they covered 47% of the time. The Marlins were 78-84-0 against the run line and had a 77-77-8 over/under record. They covered the spread 48% of the time.

The Tigers head into this matchup coming off a 74 - 87 season, including 36-44 on the road. Starting pitcher Justin Verlander had a 5 - 8 record with an earned run average of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.09. He had 113 strikeouts over his 133.1 innings pitched and he also gave up 113 hits over that time period. He allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 3.49. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.38 and they gave up 524 base hits on the year. Teams hit .266 against the bullpen while being struck out 395 times and walking 202 times last season. As a team, Detroit allowed 9.27 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.84 batters per nine. They were 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.64. The Tigers pitchers collectively gave up 1,491 base hits and 746 earned runs last year. They allowed 193 home runs last season and they allowed 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff walked 489 batters and struck out 1,100. They walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 6.8 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit was 4.46.

As a team, Detroit batted .270, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .267 average away from home. The Tigers held a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which was good for 2nd in baseball. They ranked 1st in baseball with 9.41 hits per game. Miguel Cabrera hit .338 last season and his on-base percentage was at .440. He had 145 hits last season along with 64 runs scored and 76 runs batted in. He struck out 82 times and walked 77 times. Justin Upton hit .251 and he had an on-base percentage of .336 last year. He totaled 136 hits while scoring 85 runs and he drove in 81. He walked 68 times and struck out 159 times. The Tigers had 1,515 hits, including 289 doubles, 49 triples, and 151 home runs. They stole 83 bases while they were thrown out stealing 51 times. Detroit walked 455 times last season and they struck out 1,259 times as a unit. They left 1,111 men on base and had a team OPS of .748. They scored 4.28 runs per contest and scored a total of 689 runs last season.

Miami comes into this matchup after having a 41-40 home record and a 71 - 91 overall mark last year. With an earned run average last season of 3.34, Wei-Yin Chen will come into this game after holding a 11 - 8 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He had 153 strikeouts over the 191.1 innings he pitched during which he gave up 192 hits. He allowed 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.16. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.66 and they gave up 462 base hits last year. Teams hit .236 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 499 times and walking 214 times last season. As a team, Miami allowed 8.67 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.27 batters per nine. They were 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.04. The Marlins pitchers as a team surrendered 1,374 base knocks and 638 earned runs last season. They gave up 141 home runs last year and they gave up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff walked 508 hitters and struck out 1,152. They gave up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they struck out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.32 while their FIP as a staff was 3.98.

As a team, they hit .260, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .260 average at home. The Marlins held a .384 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which was good for 23rd in baseball. They ranked 9th in baseball with 8.77 hits per contest. Dee Gordon batted .333 last season and he had an OBP of .359. He had 205 hits last year along with 88 runs scored and 46 RBI. He struck out 91 times and walked on 25 occasions. Giancarlo Stanton hit .265 and he had an OBP of .346. He collected 74 hits last year while he scored 47 runs and drove in 67. He earned a walk 34 times and punched out 95 times. The Marlins as a unit had 1,420 base hits last year, including 236 doubles, 40 triples, and 120 homers. They had 112 stolen bases while they were thrown out 45 times. Miami as a team walked 375 times last year and they struck out 1,150 times. They had 1,059 men left on base and had an OPS of .694. They scored 3.78 runs per game and totaled 613 runs last season.

Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers were 85-68-8 against the over/under last season

The Detroit Tigers were 76-85-0 against the run line last season

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins were 77-77-8 against the over/under last season

The Miami Marlins were 78-84-0 against the run line last season

Injuries to Watch

Detroit Tigers

04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Wilson Shoulder out indefinitely
03/31/16 P Daniel Norris Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)

Miami Marlins

04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers

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