Saturday, September 17, 2016

Progressive Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Justin Verlander vs. Carlos Carrasco

The Detroit Tigers head to Progressive Field on Saturday to take on the Cleveland Indians. The probable pitchers are Justin Verlander for the Tigers and Carlos Carrasco for the Indians. The Tigers have a 71-68-7 over/under mark and a 77-69-0 run line record, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Indians are 69-77-0 against the run line and have a 72-64-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.

The Tigers head into this game with a 78-68 record, and they are 36-36 on the road. Starting pitcher Justin Verlander has a 14-8 record with an ERA of 3.33 and a WHIP of 1.03. He has 216 strikeouts during his 200 innings pitched and he has given up 156 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.64. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.08 and they have allowed 456 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the pen while they've been struck out 399 times and walked 162 times this year. As a unit, Detroit has given up 9.01 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.6 hitters per nine. They are 19th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.25. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 1,301 base hits and 614 earned runs. They have allowed 164 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 415 batters and struck out 1,097. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.17.

As a team, Detroit is hitting .266, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .264 average on the road. The Tigers have a .433 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .328 which is good for 7th in the league. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.13 hits per contest. Miguel Cabrera comes into this game hitting .308 and his on-base percentage is at .382. He has 166 hits this season along with 79 runs scored and 91 runs batted in. He's struck out 103 times and has walked 65 times. Ian Kinsler is hitting .280 and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 160 hits so far while scoring 105 runs and he's driven in 78. He has walked 40 times and has struck out 106 times. The Tigers have 1,333 hits, including 224 doubles and 187 home runs. They've stolen 55 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 25 times. Detroit has walked 435 times this season and they've struck out 1,165 times as a unit. They've left 999 men on base and have a team OPS of .761. They score 4.55 runs per contest and have scored a total of 664 runs so far this year.

Cleveland comes into this game with a 47-25 home mark and a 84-62 overall record. With an ERA of 3.32, Carlos Carrasco has a 11-8 record and a 1.14 WHIP. He has 150 strikeouts over the 146.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 133 hits. He has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.72. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.39 and they have given up 398 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 446 times and walking 172 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.29 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.82. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,210 base knocks and 557 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 170 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 426 hitters and struck out 1,270. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 3.93.

As a team, they are batting .264, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .292 average at home. The Indians hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.06 hits per contest. Jason Kipnis comes into this matchup batting .277 and he has an OBP of .344. He has 154 hits this year along with 82 runs scored and 77 RBI. He's struck out 129 times and has walked on 57 occasions. Francisco Lindor is hitting .313 and he has an OBP of .359. He has collected 178 hits so far while he's scored 92 runs and drove in 70. He has earned a walk 43 times and has punched out 81 times. The Indians as a unit have 1,323 base hits, including 279 doubles and 175 homers. They have 116 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 28 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 470 times this year and they have struck out 1,133 times. They've had 977 men left on base and have an OPS of .763. They score 4.88 runs per game and have totaled 712 runs so far this season.

Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 71-68-7 against the over/under so far this season

The Detroit Tigers are 77-69-0 against the run line so far this season

Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Cleveland Indians are 72-64-10 against the over/under so far this season

The Cleveland Indians are 69-77-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Detroit Tigers

09/15/16 CF Cameron Maybin Thumb "?" Friday vs. Cleveland Indians
08/07/16 3B Nick Castellanos Hand 15-day DL (8/7)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23), out for season
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)

Cleveland Indians

09/13/16 P Danny Salazar Forearm out indefinitely
08/31/16 C Yan Gomes Shoulder 60-day DL (7/18)
07/18/16 P Tommy Hunter Back 15-day DL (7/10)
07/07/16 P Zach McAllister Hip 15-day DL (7/6)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10); out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Indians

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