Tuesday, July 5, 2016

Progressive Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jordan Zimmermann vs. Carlos Carrasco

The Detroit Tigers visit Progressive Field on Tuesday to play the Cleveland Indians. The probable starters are Jordan Zimmermann for the Tigers and Carlos Carrasco for the Indians. The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at +147 and Cleveland at -157. The over/under was set at 8. The Tigers have a 47-31-4 over/under record and a 47-35-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 57% of the time. The Indians are 44-37-0 against the run line and have a 41-34-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.

The Tigers head into this matchup with a 44-38 record, including 21-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Jordan Zimmermann has a 9-4 record with an earned run average of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.24. He has 60 strikeouts over his 95.2 innings pitched and he has given up 101 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.6. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.34 and they have given up 263 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the bullpen while being struck out 216 times and walking 82 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.32 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.35 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.48. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 757 base hits and 364 earned runs. They have allowed 89 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 238 batters and struck out 597. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.19.

As a team, Detroit is batting .271, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .262 average away from home. The Tigers hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.41 hits per game. Nick Castellanos comes into this game hitting .299 and his on-base percentage is at .340. He has 91 hits this season along with 40 runs scored and 43 runs batted in. He's struck out 79 times and has walked 19 times. Ian Kinsler is hitting .293 and he has an on-base percentage of .352. He has totaled 97 hits so far while scoring 67 runs and he's driven in 52. He has walked 25 times and has struck out 64 times. The Tigers have 772 hits, including 133 doubles and 108 home runs. They've stolen 35 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 15 times. Detroit has walked 250 times this season and they've struck out 696 times as a unit. They've left 565 men on base and have a team OPS of .774. They score 4.9 runs per contest and have scored a total of 402 runs so far this year.

Cleveland comes into this matchup with a 23-12 home record and a 49-32 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.56, Carlos Carrasco has a 4-2 record and a 1.06 WHIP. He has 63 strikeouts over the 63.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 52 hits. He has allowed 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.99. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.59 and they have given up 207 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 228 times and walking 97 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 7.91 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.47 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.58. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 647 base knocks and 293 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 92 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 234 hitters and struck out 693. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.20 while their FIP as a staff is 3.93.

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .291 average at home. The Indians hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.95 hits per contest. Jason Kipnis comes into this matchup batting .264 and he has an OBP of .324. He has 83 hits this year along with 40 runs scored and 46 RBI. He's struck out 72 times and has walked on 27 occasions. Francisco Lindor is hitting .300 and he has an OBP of .356. He has collected 94 hits so far while he's scored 52 runs and drove in 39. He has earned a walk 28 times and has punched out 48 times. The Indians as a unit have 725 base hits, including 138 doubles and 102 homers. They have 64 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 14 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 250 times this year and they have struck out 650 times. They've had 529 men left on base and have an OPS of .750. They score 4.81 runs per game and have totaled 390 runs so far this season.

Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 47-31-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Detroit Tigers are 47-35-0 against the run line so far this season

Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Cleveland Indians are 41-34-6 against the over/under so far this season

The Cleveland Indians are 44-37-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Detroit Tigers

07/04/16 3B Nick Castellanos Hand probable Monday vs. Cleveland Indians
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23)
06/17/16 RF J.D. Martinez Elbow 15-day DL (6/17)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)

Cleveland Indians

07/03/16 3B Juan Uribe Hand "?" Monday vs. Detroit Tigers
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10)
05/02/16 C Roberto Perez Thumb 60-day DL (5/2)

Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers

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