Wednesday, July 27, 2016

Fenway Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Michael Fulmer vs. Eduardo Rodriguez

The Detroit Tigers head to Fenway Park on Wednesday to take on the Boston Red Sox. The probable pitchers are Michael Fulmer for the Tigers and Eduardo Rodriguez for the Red Sox. The opening line for this game has Detroit at +114 and Boston at -124. The over/under is 10.5. The Tigers have a 51-44-5 over/under mark and a 57-43-0 run line record, meaning they cover 57% of the time. The Red Sox are 49-48-0 against the run line and have a 51-41-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.

The Tigers head into this game with a 52-48 record, and they are 26-29 on the road. Starting pitcher Michael Fulmer has a 9-2 record with an ERA of 2.41 and a WHIP of 1.10. He has 81 strikeouts during his 89.2 innings pitched and he has given up 69 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 6.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.52. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have allowed 323 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the pen while they've been struck out 264 times and walked 104 times this year. As a unit, Detroit has given up 9.31 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.48 hitters per nine. They are 21st in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.42. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 914 base hits and 434 earned runs. They have allowed 102 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 295 batters and struck out 735. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.09.

As a team, Detroit is hitting .265, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .256 average on the road. The Tigers have a .434 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .325 which is good for 12th in the league. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.11 hits per contest. Ian Kinsler comes into this game hitting .291 and his on-base percentage is at .346. He has 117 hits this season along with 80 runs scored and 57 runs batted in. He's struck out 78 times and has walked 27 times. Nick Castellanos is hitting .296 and he has an on-base percentage of .335. He has totaled 109 hits so far while scoring 48 runs and he's driven in 55. He has walked 22 times and has struck out 95 times. The Tigers have 911 hits, including 153 doubles and 129 home runs. They've stolen 42 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Detroit has walked 295 times this season and they've struck out 830 times as a unit. They've left 679 men on base and have a team OPS of .758. They score 4.62 runs per contest and have scored a total of 462 runs so far this year.

Boston comes into this game with a 34-23 home mark and a 55-42 overall record. With an ERA of 6.70, Eduardo Rodriguez has a 2-4 record and a 1.54 WHIP. He has 30 strikeouts over the 41.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 49 hits. He has allowed 10.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.21. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.89 and they have given up 266 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 321 times and walking 113 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.81 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.49 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 849 base knocks and 422 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 112 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 303 hitters and struck out 818. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.14.

As a team, they are batting .291, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .303 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .476 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .356 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.31 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .303 and he has an OBP of .342. He has 127 hits this year along with 79 runs scored and 63 RBI. He's struck out 58 times and has walked on 25 occasions. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .332 and he has an OBP of .386. He has collected 133 hits so far while he's scored 74 runs and drove in 61. He has earned a walk 35 times and has punched out 64 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,000 base hits, including 231 doubles and 123 homers. They have 61 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Boston as a team has walked 336 times this year and they have struck out 684 times. They've had 723 men left on base and have an OPS of .833. They score 5.66 runs per game and have totaled 549 runs so far this season.

Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 51-44-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Detroit Tigers are 57-43-0 against the run line so far this season

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 51-41-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 49-48-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Detroit Tigers

07/26/16 CF Cameron Maybin Back "?" Tuesday vs. Boston Red Sox
07/06/16 P Daniel Norris Oblique 15-day DL (7/5)
07/04/16 P Jordan Zimmerman Neck 15-day DL (6/01)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23)
06/17/16 RF J.D. Martinez Elbow 15-day DL (6/17)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)

Boston Red Sox

07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral 15-day DL (7/20)
07/10/16 P Sean O'Sullivan Knee 15-day DL (7/10)
07/09/16 P Craig Kimbrel Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox

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