Friday, May 13, 2016

Oriole Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Justin Verlander vs. Chris Tillman

The Detroit Tigers visit Oriole Park on Friday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Justin Verlander for the Tigers and Chris Tillman for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at +125 and Baltimore at -135. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Tigers have a 22-11-0 over/under record and a 18-15-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 55% of the time. The Orioles are 18-14-0 against the run line and have a 13-17-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 56% of the time.

The Tigers head into this matchup with a 15-18 record, including 10-9 on the road. Starting pitcher Justin Verlander has a 2-3 record with an earned run average of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.32. He has 42 strikeouts over his 41.2 innings pitched and he has given up 40 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.4. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.76 and they have given up 109 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .270 against the bullpen while being struck out 75 times and walking 31 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.55 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.88 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.40. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 308 base hits and 142 earned runs. They have allowed 35 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 109 batters and struck out 222. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 6.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.32.

As a team, Detroit is batting .254, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .264 average away from home. The Tigers hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.73 hits per game. Nick Castellanos comes into this game hitting .378 and his on-base percentage is at .405. He has 42 hits this season along with 15 runs scored and 28 runs batted in. He's struck out 29 times and has walked 7 times. Ian Kinsler is hitting .290 and he has an on-base percentage of .331. He has totaled 40 hits so far while scoring 27 runs and he's driven in 17. He has walked 8 times and has struck out 25 times. The Tigers have 288 hits, including 50 doubles and 38 home runs. They've stolen 9 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Detroit has walked 93 times this season and they've struck out 308 times as a unit. They've left 222 men on base and have a team OPS of .717. They score 4.3 runs per contest and have scored a total of 142 runs so far this year.

Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 13-5 home record and a 20-12 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.05, Chris Tillman has a 4-1 record and a 1.20 WHIP. He has 40 strikeouts over the 38.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 30 hits. He has allowed 7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.74. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.33 and they have given up 87 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 97 times and walking 40 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.86 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.56. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 261 base knocks and 112 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 21 home runs this year and they give up 0.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 100 hitters and struck out 247. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 3.51.

As a team, they are batting .273, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .276 average at home. The Orioles hold a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.25 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .359 and he has an OBP of .417. He has 47 hits this year along with 27 runs scored and 23 RBI. He's struck out 20 times and has walked on 12 occasions. Mark Trumbo is hitting .323 and he has an OBP of .372. He has collected 41 hits so far while he's scored 19 runs and drove in 27. He has earned a walk 8 times and has punched out 35 times. The Orioles as a unit have 296 base hits, including 61 doubles and 49 homers. They have 4 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 4 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 99 times this year and they have struck out 260 times. They've had 212 men left on base and have an OPS of .802. They score 4.62 runs per game and have totaled 148 runs so far this season.

Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 22-11-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Detroit Tigers are 18-15-0 against the run line so far this season

Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 13-17-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Baltimore Orioles are 18-14-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Detroit Tigers

04/28/16 P Shane Greene Finger 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 CF Cameron Maybin Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Daniel Norris Back 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)

Baltimore Orioles

05/03/16 SS J.J. Hardy Foot 15-day DL (5/2)
04/23/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
03/31/16 3B Jimmy Paredes Wrist 15-day DL (3/25)

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles

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