Sunday, August 14, 2016

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Tyler Chatwood vs. Adam Morgan

The Colorado Rockies visit Citizens Bank Park on Sunday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Tyler Chatwood for the Rockies and Adam Morgan for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Colorado at -138 and Philadelphia at +128. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Rockies have a 53-59-4 over/under record and a 63-53-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Phillies are 60-57-0 against the run line and have a 59-56-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.

The Rockies head into this matchup with a 56-60 record, including 28-31 on the road. Starting pitcher Tyler Chatwood has a 10-7 record with an earned run average of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.35. He has 84 strikeouts over his 123.1 innings pitched and he has given up 113 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.08. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.89 and they have given up 393 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the bullpen while being struck out 328 times and walking 136 times this season. As a team, Colorado has allowed 9.57 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.85. The Rockies pitchers have collectively given up 1,088 base hits and 551 earned runs. They have allowed 119 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a pitching staff has walked 377 batters and struck out 842. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.24.

As a team, Colorado is batting .272, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .241 average away from home. The Rockies hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.36 hits per game. Nolan Arenado comes into this game hitting .284 and his on-base percentage is at .357. He has 125 hits this season along with 85 runs scored and 93 runs batted in. He's struck out 66 times and has walked 51 times. Carlos Gonzalez is hitting .323 and he has an on-base percentage of .372. He has totaled 134 hits so far while scoring 72 runs and he's driven in 79. He has walked 33 times and has struck out 95 times. The Rockies have 1,087 hits, including 225 doubles and 146 home runs. They've stolen 50 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 29 times. Colorado has walked 372 times this season and they've struck out 949 times as a unit. They've left 778 men on base and have a team OPS of .790. They score 5.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 609 runs so far this year.

Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 26-29 home record and a 54-63 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.65, Adam Morgan has a 1-7 record and a 1.60 WHIP. He has 56 strikeouts over the 66.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 90 hits. He has allowed 12.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.44. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.29 and they have given up 378 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 366 times and walking 140 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.13 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.43. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,050 base knocks and 510 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 145 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 318 hitters and struck out 955. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.12.

As a team, they are batting .240, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .222 average at home. The Phillies hold a .386 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.04 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .284 and he has an OBP of .366. He has 121 hits this year along with 63 runs scored and 40 RBI. He's struck out 92 times and has walked on 53 occasions. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .287 and he has an OBP of .347. He has collected 112 hits so far while he's scored 44 runs and drove in 27. He has earned a walk 36 times and has punched out 84 times. The Phillies as a unit have 941 base hits, including 167 doubles and 116 homers. They have 67 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 32 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 293 times this year and they have struck out 943 times. They've had 732 men left on base and have an OPS of .683. They score 3.77 runs per game and have totaled 441 runs so far this season.

Colorado Rockies Betting Trends

The Colorado Rockies are 53-59-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Colorado Rockies are 63-53-0 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 59-56-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 60-57-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Colorado Rockies

08/13/16 RF Carlos Gonzalez Ankle "?" Saturday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
08/12/16 1B Mark Reynolds Hand 15-day DL (8/11)
08/02/16 SS Trevor Story Thumb 15-day DL (8/2), out for season
07/27/16 P Jason Motte Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (7/26)
07/23/16 P Chad Qualls Illness 15-day DL (7/16)
07/06/16 P Justin Miller Oblique 15-day DL (7/3)
04/04/16 P Jairo Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25), out for season

Philadelphia Phillies

08/11/16 P Jeremy Hellickson Back "?" for next scheduled start Wednesday vs. LA Dodgers
08/09/16 P Zach Eflin Knee 15-day DL (8/9)
08/04/16 P Aaron Nola Elbow 15-day DL (7/29)
07/26/16 2B Andres Blanco Finger 15-day DL (7/25)
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)

Tony's Pick: Take the Rockies

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