Sunday, July 17, 2016

Target Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Josh Tomlin vs. Kyle Gibson

The Cleveland Indians visit Target Field on Sunday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Josh Tomlin for the Indians and Kyle Gibson for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Cleveland at -135 and Minnesota at +125. The over/under was set at 9. The Indians have a 46-36-7 over/under record and a 48-41-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Twins are 44-45-0 against the run line and have a 54-30-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.

The Indians head into this matchup with a 53-36 record, including 27-20 on the road. Starting pitcher Josh Tomlin has a 9-2 record with an earned run average of 3.51 and a WHIP of 1.12. He has 68 strikeouts over his 100 innings pitched and he has given up 101 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.94. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.52 and they have given up 233 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the bullpen while being struck out 259 times and walking 108 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.01 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.48 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.61. The Indians pitchers have collectively given up 721 base hits and 325 earned runs. They have allowed 101 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 257 batters and struck out 763. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 3.93.

As a team, Cleveland is batting .259, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .234 average away from home. The Indians hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.98 hits per game. Jason Kipnis comes into this game hitting .272 and his on-base percentage is at .332. He has 94 hits this season along with 50 runs scored and 49 runs batted in. He's struck out 80 times and has walked 30 times. Francisco Lindor is hitting .306 and he has an on-base percentage of .365. He has totaled 104 hits so far while scoring 62 runs and he's driven in 45. He has walked 34 times and has struck out 50 times. The Indians have 799 hits, including 159 doubles and 114 home runs. They've stolen 67 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Cleveland has walked 282 times this season and they've struck out 717 times as a unit. They've left 580 men on base and have a team OPS of .756. They score 4.96 runs per contest and have scored a total of 441 runs so far this year.

Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 19-28 home record and a 32-57 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.02, Kyle Gibson has a 2-5 record and a 1.48 WHIP. He has 41 strikeouts over the 57.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 62 hits. He has allowed 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.42. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.48 and they have given up 322 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .270 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 296 times and walking 97 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.07 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.61 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.96. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 881 base knocks and 434 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 120 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 242 hitters and struck out 666. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.46.

As a team, they are batting .252, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .259 average at home. The Twins hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318 which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.66 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .271 and he has an OBP of .371. He has 85 hits this year along with 42 runs scored and 28 RBI. He's struck out 60 times and has walked on 50 occasions. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .317 and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 101 hits so far while he's scored 46 runs and drove in 40. He has earned a walk 12 times and has punched out 43 times. The Twins as a unit have 771 base hits, including 153 doubles and 106 homers. They have 59 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 283 times this year and they have struck out 750 times. They've had 619 men left on base and have an OPS of .736. They score 4.46 runs per game and have totaled 397 runs so far this season.

Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Cleveland Indians are 46-36-7 against the over/under so far this season

The Cleveland Indians are 48-41-0 against the run line so far this season

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 54-30-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Minnesota Twins are 44-45-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cleveland Indians

07/07/16 P Zach McAllister Hip 15-day DL (7/6)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10)
05/02/16 C Roberto Perez Thumb 60-day DL (5/2)

Minnesota Twins

07/04/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Ribs 15-day DL (7/1)
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season

Josh's Pick: Take the Indians

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