Wednesday, May 11, 2016

Minute Maid Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Danny Salazar vs. Doug Fister

The Cleveland Indians visit Minute Maid Park on Wednesday to play the Houston Astros. The probable starters are Danny Salazar for the Indians and Doug Fister for the Astros. The opening line for this matchup has Cleveland at -111 and Houston at +101. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Indians have a 15-12-2 over/under record and a 12-17-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 41% of the time. The Astros are 13-20-0 against the run line and have a 17-12-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 39% of the time.

The Indians head into this matchup with a 15-14 record, including 7-8 on the road. Starting pitcher Danny Salazar has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 1.91 and a WHIP of 0.90. He has 43 strikeouts over his 37.2 innings pitched and he has given up 18 hits so far this season. He has allowed 4.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.48. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.71 and they have given up 74 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the bullpen while being struck out 81 times and walking 34 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.15 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 3.86. The Indians pitchers have collectively given up 226 base hits and 110 earned runs. They have allowed 30 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 76 batters and struck out 232. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.18 and their FIP as a unit is 3.75.

As a team, Cleveland is batting .247, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .236 average away from home. The Indians hold a .390 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.24 hits per game. Jason Kipnis comes into this game hitting .254 and his on-base percentage is at .307. He has 29 hits this season along with 17 runs scored and 14 runs batted in. He's struck out 37 times and has walked 10 times. Francisco Lindor is hitting .313 and he has an on-base percentage of .376. He has totaled 35 hits so far while scoring 19 runs and he's driven in 12. He has walked 11 times and has struck out 22 times. The Indians have 239 hits, including 52 doubles and 26 home runs. They've stolen 21 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 7 times. Cleveland has walked 91 times this season and they've struck out 250 times as a unit. They've left 180 men on base and have a team OPS of .701. They score 4.31 runs per contest and have scored a total of 125 runs so far this year.

Houston comes into this matchup with a 9-9 home record and a 13-20 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.54, Doug Fister has a 3-3 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 19 strikeouts over the 35.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 33 hits. He has allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.09. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.11 and they have given up 92 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Astros bullpen while being struck out 107 times and walking 24 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 9.42 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.59 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.46. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 304 base knocks and 144 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 41 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a staff has walked 86 hitters and struck out 245. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.13.

As a team, they are batting .234, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .248 average at home. The Astros hold a .421 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 7.67 hits per contest. Jose Altuve comes into this matchup batting .323 and he has an OBP of .408. He has 41 hits this year along with 31 runs scored and 22 RBI. He's struck out 17 times and has walked on 16 occasions. Carlos Correa is hitting .284 and he has an OBP of .394. He has collected 33 hits so far while he's scored 18 runs and drove in 16. He has earned a walk 20 times and has punched out 31 times. The Astros as a unit have 253 base hits, including 72 doubles and 41 homers. They have 28 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 10 times. Houston as a team has walked 128 times this year and they have struck out 318 times. They've had 214 men left on base and have an OPS of .738. They score 4.21 runs per game and have totaled 139 runs so far this season.

Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Cleveland Indians are 15-12-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Cleveland Indians are 12-17-0 against the run line so far this season

Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 17-12-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Houston Astros are 13-20-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cleveland Indians

05/02/16 C Roberto Perez Thumb 15-day DL (5/2)
04/25/16 P Carlos Carrasco Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24)

Houston Astros

04/04/16 P Lance McCuller Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/02/16 C Max Stassi Wrist 15-day DL (3/29)

Tony's Pick: Take the Indians

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