Sunday, July 3, 2016

Nationals Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: John Lamb vs. Lucas Giolito

The Cincinnati Reds head to Nationals Park on Sunday to take on the Washington Nationals. The probable pitchers are John Lamb for the Reds and Lucas Giolito for the Nationals. The opening line for this game has Cincinnati at +153 and Washington at -163. The over/under is 8. The Reds have a 45-29-7 over/under mark and a 40-41-0 run line record, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Nationals are 42-39-0 against the run line and have a 40-35-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.

The Reds head into this game with a 29-52 record, and they are 11-27 on the road. Starting pitcher John Lamb has a 1-4 record with an ERA of 4.60 and a WHIP of 1.47. He has 41 strikeouts during his 58.2 innings pitched and he has given up 61 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.08. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 5.93 and they have allowed 315 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the pen while they've been struck out 260 times and walked 163 times this year. As a unit, Cincinnati has given up 9.48 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.23 hitters per nine. They are 30th in the Majors in team earned run average at 5.45. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 767 base hits and 441 earned runs. They have allowed 137 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 353 batters and struck out 585. They walk 4.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.54 and their FIP as a unit is 5.62.

As a team, Cincinnati is hitting .237, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .240 average on the road. The Reds have a .400 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .297 which is good for 29th in the league. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.95 hits per contest. Jay Bruce comes into this game hitting .273 and his on-base percentage is at .318. He has 79 hits this season along with 45 runs scored and 59 runs batted in. He's struck out 64 times and has walked 18 times. Brandon Phillips is hitting .253 and he has an on-base percentage of .294. He has totaled 73 hits so far while scoring 37 runs and he's driven in 29. He has walked 13 times and has struck out 41 times. The Reds have 643 hits, including 138 doubles and 91 home runs. They've stolen 57 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 28 times. Cincinnati has walked 214 times this season and they've struck out 688 times as a unit. They've left 452 men on base and have a team OPS of .697. They score 4.22 runs per contest and have scored a total of 342 runs so far this year.

Washington comes into this game with a 25-12 home mark and a 49-32 overall record. Lucas Giolito has a 0-0 record and a 0.75 WHIP. He has 1 strikeout over the 4 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 1 hit. He has allowed 2.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.16. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.04 and they have given up 185 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 236 times and walking 71 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.67 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.53 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.30. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 624 base knocks and 268 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 77 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 219 hitters and struck out 775. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.15 while their FIP as a staff is 3.41.

As a team, they are batting .253, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .254 average at home. The Nationals hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.58 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .258 and he has an OBP of .402. He has 66 hits this year along with 46 runs scored and 46 RBI. He's struck out 53 times and has walked on 64 occasions. Daniel Murphy is hitting .352 and he has an OBP of .393. He has collected 106 hits so far while he's scored 47 runs and drove in 55. He has earned a walk 17 times and has punched out 34 times. The Nationals as a unit have 695 base hits, including 134 doubles and 107 homers. They have 47 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 23 times. Washington as a team has walked 288 times this year and they have struck out 625 times. They've had 560 men left on base and have an OPS of .754. They score 4.67 runs per game and have totaled 378 runs so far this season.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 45-29-7 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 40-41-0 against the run line so far this season

Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Washington Nationals are 40-35-6 against the over/under so far this season

The Washington Nationals are 42-39-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/16)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Washington Nationals

06/26/16 P Stephen Strasburg Back 15-day DL (6/16)
06/14/16 P Jonathan Papelbon Side 15-day DL (6/13)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)

Tony's Pick: Take the Nationals

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