Wednesday, June 22, 2016

Globe Life Park

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Probable Pitchers: Dan Straily vs. Cole Hamels

The Cincinnati Reds visit Globe Life Park on Wednesday to play the Texas Rangers. The probable starters are Dan Straily for the Reds and Cole Hamels for the Rangers. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +185 and Texas at -200. The over/under was set at 9. The Reds have a 39-26-5 over/under record and a 37-33-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Rangers are 45-26-0 against the run line and have a 36-33-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 63% of the time.

The Reds head into this matchup with a 27-43 record, including 10-24 on the road. Starting pitcher Dan Straily has a 4-3 record with an earned run average of 3.66 and a WHIP of 1.20. He has 69 strikeouts over his 78.2 innings pitched and he has given up 59 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.38. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 6.04 and they have given up 278 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .274 against the bullpen while being struck out 219 times and walking 140 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.63 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.08 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.37. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 664 base hits and 370 earned runs. They have allowed 114 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 308 batters and struck out 488. They walk 4.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.57 and their FIP as a unit is 5.59.

As a team, Cincinnati is batting .239, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .238 average away from home. The Reds hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 7.93 hits per game. Zack Cozart comes into this game hitting .281 and his on-base percentage is at .320. He has 64 hits this season along with 36 runs scored and 27 runs batted in. He's struck out 33 times and has walked 13 times. Jay Bruce is hitting .274 and he has an on-base percentage of .327. He has totaled 66 hits so far while scoring 40 runs and he's driven in 51. He has walked 18 times and has struck out 55 times. The Reds have 554 hits, including 120 doubles and 81 home runs. They've stolen 47 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 24 times. Cincinnati has walked 174 times this season and they've struck out 592 times as a unit. They've left 376 men on base and have a team OPS of .703. They score 4.3 runs per contest and have scored a total of 301 runs so far this year.

Texas comes into this matchup with a 25-10 home record and a 46-25 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.88, Cole Hamels has a 7-1 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He has 87 strikeouts over the 90.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 76 hits. He has allowed 7.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.77. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.66 and they have given up 233 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .273 against the Rangers bullpen while being struck out 179 times and walking 75 times this season. As a team, Texas has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.68 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.90. The Rangers pitchers as a team have surrendered 618 base knocks and 277 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 84 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Texas as a staff has walked 224 hitters and struck out 474. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 6.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.53.

As a team, they are batting .265, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .282 average at home. The Rangers hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 9.04 hits per contest. Adrian Beltre comes into this matchup batting .275 and he has an OBP of .328. He has 67 hits this year along with 31 runs scored and 42 RBI. He's struck out 27 times and has walked on 17 occasions. Elvis Andrus is hitting .291 and he has an OBP of .339. He has collected 69 hits so far while he's scored 31 runs and drove in 26. He has earned a walk 17 times and has punched out 30 times. The Rangers as a unit have 642 base hits, including 116 doubles and 87 homers. They have 45 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. Texas as a team has walked 182 times this year and they have struck out 509 times. They've had 445 men left on base and have an OPS of .749. They score 4.79 runs per game and have totaled 340 runs so far this season.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 39-26-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 37-33-0 against the run line so far this season

Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Texas Rangers are 36-33-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Texas Rangers are 45-26-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

06/14/16 C Jordan Pacheco Shoulder 15-day DL (6/13)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Texas Rangers

06/14/16 P Yu Darvish Shoulder 15-day DL (6/9)
05/28/16 P Tanner Scheppers Knee 60-day DL (3/25)
05/24/16 CF Drew Stubbs Toe 15-day DL (5/23)
05/08/16 P AJ Griffin Shoulder 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Keone Kela Elbow 60-day DL (4/20)
04/04/16 RF Josh Hamilton Knee 60-day DL (3/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Reds

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