Thursday, September 8, 2016

PNC Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Dan Straily vs. Ivan Nova

The Cincinnati Reds head to PNC Park on Thursday to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates. The probable pitchers are Dan Straily for the Reds and Ivan Nova for the Pirates. The opening line for this game has Cincinnati at +127 and Pittsburgh at -137. The over/under is 8.5. The Reds have a 73-54-10 over/under mark and a 72-65-0 run line record, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Pirates are 64-72-0 against the run line and have a 76-57-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.

The Reds head into this game with a 57-80 record, and they are 23-44 on the road. Starting pitcher Dan Straily has a 11-7 record with an ERA of 3.83 and a WHIP of 1.18. He has 131 strikeouts during his 159.2 innings pitched and he has given up 128 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.82. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 5.00 and they have allowed 477 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the pen while they've been struck out 445 times and walked 246 times this year. As a unit, Cincinnati has given up 9.08 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.74 hitters per nine. They are 28th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.92. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 1,233 base hits and 668 earned runs. They have allowed 225 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 530 batters and struck out 1,051. They walk 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 5.28.

As a team, Cincinnati is hitting .251, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .246 average on the road. The Reds have a .406 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .313 which is good for 24th in the league. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.47 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this game hitting .255 and his on-base percentage is at .312. He has 115 hits this season along with 67 runs scored and 48 runs batted in. He's struck out 80 times and has walked 37 times. Joey Votto is hitting .312 and he has an on-base percentage of .434. He has totaled 142 hits so far while scoring 85 runs and he's driven in 80. He has walked 99 times and has struck out 110 times. The Reds have 1,159 hits, including 233 doubles and 144 home runs. They've stolen 121 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 41 times. Cincinnati has walked 398 times this season and they've struck out 1,110 times as a unit. They've left 843 men on base and have a team OPS of .719. They score 4.41 runs per contest and have scored a total of 604 runs so far this year.

Pittsburgh comes into this game with a 34-35 home mark and a 67-69 overall record. With an ERA of 4.34, Ivan Nova has a 11-6 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 103 strikeouts over the 134.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 142 hits. He has allowed 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.6. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.56 and they have given up 456 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Pirates bullpen while being struck out 424 times and walking 195 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 9.12 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.48 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.17. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,240 base knocks and 567 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 155 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 458 hitters and struck out 1,017. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.40.

As a team, they are batting .256, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .269 average at home. The Pirates hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.79 hits per contest. Jordy Mercer comes into this matchup batting .262 and he has an OBP of .337. He has 119 hits this year along with 58 runs scored and 53 RBI. He's struck out 71 times and has walked on 47 occasions. Starling Marte is hitting .311 and he has an OBP of .362. He has collected 151 hits so far while he's scored 71 runs and drove in 46. He has earned a walk 23 times and has punched out 103 times. The Pirates as a unit have 1,195 base hits, including 234 doubles and 129 homers. They have 101 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 42 times. Pittsburgh as a team has walked 449 times this year and they have struck out 1,119 times. They've had 967 men left on base and have an OPS of .730. They score 4.49 runs per game and have totaled 610 runs so far this season.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 73-54-10 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 72-65-0 against the run line so far this season

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 76-57-3 against the over/under so far this season

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 64-72-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

09/06/16 CF Billy Hamilton Oblique expected to miss 5-7 days
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)

Pittsburgh Pirates

09/07/16 C Francisco Cervelli Thumb "?" Wednesday vs. St. Louis Cardinals
08/29/16 P Gerrit Cole Elbow 15-day DL (8/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Pirates

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