Sunday, September 11, 2016

PNC Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Brandon Finnegan vs. Ryan Vogelsong

The Cincinnati Reds head to PNC Park on Sunday to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates. The probable pitchers are Brandon Finnegan for the Reds and Ryan Vogelsong for the Pirates. The opening line for this game has Cincinnati at +120 and Pittsburgh at -130. The over/under is 9. The Reds have a 74-56-10 over/under mark and a 73-67-0 run line record, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Pirates are 65-74-0 against the run line and have a 76-60-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.

The Reds head into this game with a 58-82 record, and they are 24-45 on the road. Starting pitcher Brandon Finnegan has a 8-10 record with an ERA of 4.17 and a WHIP of 1.32. He has 133 strikeouts during his 159.2 innings pitched and he has given up 135 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.35. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 5.00 and they have allowed 490 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the pen while they've been struck out 451 times and walked 251 times this year. As a unit, Cincinnati has given up 9.13 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.71 hitters per nine. They are 28th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.90. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 1,267 base hits and 680 earned runs. They have allowed 228 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 541 batters and struck out 1,070. They walk 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 5.27.

As a team, Cincinnati is hitting .251, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .246 average on the road. The Reds have a .405 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .314 which is good for 25th in the league. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.49 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this game hitting .253 and his on-base percentage is at .309. He has 116 hits this season along with 67 runs scored and 49 runs batted in. He's struck out 83 times and has walked 37 times. Joey Votto is hitting .313 and he has an on-base percentage of .433. He has totaled 146 hits so far while scoring 85 runs and he's driven in 81. He has walked 100 times and has struck out 112 times. The Reds have 1,188 hits, including 238 doubles and 145 home runs. They've stolen 122 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 44 times. Cincinnati has walked 405 times this season and they've struck out 1,128 times as a unit. They've left 866 men on base and have a team OPS of .718. They score 4.37 runs per contest and have scored a total of 612 runs so far this year.

Pittsburgh comes into this game with a 36-36 home mark and a 69-70 overall record. With an ERA of 4.07, Ryan Vogelsong has a 3-4 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 44 strikeouts over the 59.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 56 hits. He has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.99. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.54 and they have given up 464 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Pirates bullpen while being struck out 427 times and walking 196 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.42 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.13. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,265 base knocks and 574 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 156 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 462 hitters and struck out 1,031. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.37.

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .272 average at home. The Pirates hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.83 hits per contest. Jordy Mercer comes into this matchup batting .263 and he has an OBP of .339. He has 122 hits this year along with 60 runs scored and 53 RBI. He's struck out 75 times and has walked on 49 occasions. Starling Marte is hitting .311 and he has an OBP of .362. He has collected 151 hits so far while he's scored 71 runs and drove in 46. He has earned a walk 23 times and has punched out 103 times. The Pirates as a unit have 1,227 base hits, including 244 doubles and 130 homers. They have 101 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 42 times. Pittsburgh as a team has walked 459 times this year and they have struck out 1,137 times. They've had 995 men left on base and have an OPS of .734. They score 4.47 runs per game and have totaled 621 runs so far this season.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 74-56-10 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 73-67-0 against the run line so far this season

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 76-60-3 against the over/under so far this season

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 65-74-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

09/09/16 P Homer Bailey Bicep out indefinitely
09/06/16 CF Billy Hamilton Oblique expected to miss series vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)

Pittsburgh Pirates

09/09/16 LF Starling Marte Back "?" Saturday vs. Cincinnati Reds
09/07/16 C Elias Diaz Infection out for season
08/29/16 P Gerrit Cole Elbow 15-day DL (8/25), expected to be activated & start Monday vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Josh's Pick: Take the Pirates

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