Friday, August 5, 2016

PNC Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Anthony DeSclafani vs. Jameson Taillon

The Cincinnati Reds visit PNC Park on Friday to play the Pittsburgh Pirates. The probable starters are Anthony DeSclafani for the Reds and Jameson Taillon for the Pirates. The Reds have a 56-40-10 over/under record and a 54-52-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Pirates are 50-55-0 against the run line and have a 61-43-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.

The Reds head into this matchup with a 43-63 record, including 18-34 on the road. Starting pitcher Anthony DeSclafani has a 6-0 record with an earned run average of 2.93 and a WHIP of 1.22. He has 52 strikeouts over his 61.1 innings pitched and he has given up 62 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.76. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.21 and they have given up 376 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen while being struck out 349 times and walking 200 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.21 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.52 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.15. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 972 base hits and 544 earned runs. They have allowed 176 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 436 batters and struck out 794. They walk 4.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.48 and their FIP as a unit is 5.41.

As a team, Cincinnati is batting .243, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .241 average away from home. The Reds hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.21 hits per game. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .293 and his on-base percentage is at .424. He has 103 hits this season along with 66 runs scored and 54 runs batted in. He's struck out 98 times and has walked 78 times. Zack Cozart is hitting .266 and he has an on-base percentage of .317. He has totaled 98 hits so far while scoring 55 runs and he's driven in 41. He has walked 27 times and has struck out 62 times. The Reds have 869 hits, including 172 doubles and 120 home runs. They've stolen 85 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 34 times. Cincinnati has walked 291 times this season and they've struck out 881 times as a unit. They've left 623 men on base and have a team OPS of .707. They score 4.32 runs per contest and have scored a total of 458 runs so far this year.

Pittsburgh comes into this matchup with a 29-23 home record and a 53-52 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.52, Jameson Taillon has a 2-2 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He has 37 strikeouts over the 46 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 48 hits. He has allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.9. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.57 and they have given up 356 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Pirates bullpen while being struck out 323 times and walking 145 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 9.23 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.44 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.28. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 970 base knocks and 450 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 117 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 361 hitters and struck out 782. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.37.

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .275 average at home. The Pirates hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.9 hits per contest. Gregory Polanco comes into this matchup batting .283 and he has an OBP of .356. He has 98 hits this year along with 58 runs scored and 56 RBI. He's struck out 78 times and has walked on 42 occasions. Starling Marte is hitting .321 and he has an OBP of .380. He has collected 118 hits so far while he's scored 58 runs and drove in 37. He has earned a walk 19 times and has punched out 82 times. The Pirates as a unit have 935 base hits, including 190 doubles and 98 homers. They have 80 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 29 times. Pittsburgh as a team has walked 333 times this year and they have struck out 878 times. They've had 748 men left on base and have an OPS of .735. They score 4.57 runs per game and have totaled 480 runs so far this season.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 56-40-10 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 54-52-0 against the run line so far this season

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 61-43-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 50-55-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

08/04/16 P A.J. Morris Shoulder 15-day DL (6/16)
08/03/16 SS Zack Cozart Finger "?" Thursday vs. St. Louis Cardinals
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/22)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)

Pittsburgh Pirates

08/03/16 CF Andrew McCutchen Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs Atlanta Braves
08/03/16 C Francisco Cervelli Head "?" Thursday vs. Atlanta Braves
08/03/16 2B Josh Harrison Leg "?" Thursday vs. Atlanta Braves
07/24/16 P Tyler Glasnow Shoulder 15-day DL (7/24)
07/04/16 C Chris Stewart Knee 15-day DL (7/2)
05/24/16 P Ryan Vogelsong Eye 60-day DL (5/24), expected to be activated & start Thursday vs. Atlanta Braves

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds

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