Sunday, May 1, 2016

PNC Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Raisel Iglesias vs. Jeff Locke

The Cincinnati Reds visit PNC Park on Sunday to play the Pittsburgh Pirates. The probable starters are Raisel Iglesias for the Reds and Jeff Locke for the Pirates. The Reds have a 13-8-2 over/under record and a 9-14-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 39% of the time. The Pirates are 13-10-0 against the run line and have a 15-8-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 57% of the time.

The Reds head into this matchup with a 9-14 record, including 1-9 on the road. Starting pitcher Raisel Iglesias has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 3.49 and a WHIP of 1.45. He has 29 strikeouts over his 28.1 innings pitched and he has given up 34 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.61. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 6.29 and they have given up 81 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen while being struck out 67 times and walking 49 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.32 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.41. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 198 base hits and 119 earned runs. They have allowed 41 home runs this season and they allow 1.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 105 batters and struck out 161. They walk 4.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.53 and their FIP as a unit is 5.90.

As a team, Cincinnati is batting .240, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .244 average away from home. The Reds hold a .383 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7.65 hits per game. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .238 and his on-base percentage is at .330. He has 19 hits this season along with 6 runs scored and 11 runs batted in. He's struck out 22 times and has walked 11 times. Jay Bruce is hitting .264 and he has an on-base percentage of .316. He has totaled 19 hits so far while scoring 9 runs and he's driven in 15. He has walked 5 times and has struck out 16 times. The Reds have 176 hits, including 42 doubles and 19 home runs. They've stolen 17 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 7 times. Cincinnati has walked 54 times this season and they've struck out 174 times as a unit. They've left 121 men on base and have a team OPS of .677. They score 3.74 runs per contest and have scored a total of 86 runs so far this year.

Pittsburgh comes into this matchup with a 6-3 home record and a 14-9 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.03, Jeff Locke has a 1-2 record and a 2.19 WHIP. He has 15 strikeouts over the 19.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 28 hits. He has allowed 12.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.16. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.48 and they have given up 80 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the Pirates bullpen while being struck out 78 times and walking 43 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 8.73 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.17 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 204 base knocks and 99 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 32 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 102 hitters and struck out 191. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.79.

As a team, they are batting .293, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .293 average at home. The Pirates hold a .446 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .377 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.43 hits per contest. Andrew McCutchen comes into this matchup batting .236 and he has an OBP of .346. He has 21 hits this year along with 16 runs scored and 10 RBI. He's struck out 24 times and has walked on 13 occasions. Starling Marte is hitting .333 and he has an OBP of .373. He has collected 32 hits so far while he's scored 14 runs and drove in 12. He has earned a walk 3 times and has punched out 20 times. The Pirates as a unit have 240 base hits, including 56 doubles and 20 homers. They have 16 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Pittsburgh as a team has walked 100 times this year and they have struck out 176 times. They've had 197 men left on base and have an OPS of .823. They score 5.35 runs per game and have totaled 123 runs so far this season.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 13-8-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 9-14-0 against the run line so far this season

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 15-8-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 13-10-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

04/28/16 P Jon Moscot Shoulder "?" for next scheduled start
04/19/16 P Alfredo Simon Bicep "?" for next scheduled start
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 15-day DL (3/31)
04/03/16 P John Lamb Back 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Pittsburgh Pirates

04/14/16 P Cory Luebke Hamstring 15-day DL (4/14)
04/04/16 3B Jung-ho Kang Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Jared Hughes Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 C Elias Diaz Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)

Tony's Pick: Take the Pirates

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