Friday, September 23, 2016

Miller Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Anthony DeSclafani vs. Zach Davies

The Cincinnati Reds head to Miller Park on Friday to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable pitchers are Anthony DeSclafani for the Reds and Zach Davies for the Brewers. The opening line for this game has Cincinnati at +103 and Milwaukee at -113. The over/under is 8.5. The Reds have a 81-61-10 over/under mark and a 78-74-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Brewers are 82-70-0 against the run line and have a 70-73-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.

The Reds head into this game with a 63-89 record, and they are 26-48 on the road. Starting pitcher Anthony DeSclafani has a 8-4 record with an ERA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.20. He has 98 strikeouts during his 111.1 innings pitched and he has given up 108 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.91. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 5.07 and they have allowed 541 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the pen while they've been struck out 487 times and walked 282 times this year. As a unit, Cincinnati has given up 9.14 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.71 hitters per nine. They are 28th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.93. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 1,376 base hits and 742 earned runs. They have allowed 244 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 603 batters and struck out 1,160. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 5.27.

As a team, Cincinnati is hitting .253, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .248 average on the road. The Reds have a .406 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .314 which is good for 24th in the league. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.55 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .320 and his on-base percentage is at .432. He has 165 hits this season along with 93 runs scored and 87 runs batted in. He's struck out 117 times and has walked 103 times. Brandon Phillips is hitting .289 and he has an on-base percentage of .320. He has totaled 153 hits so far while scoring 72 runs and he's driven in 59. He has walked 18 times and has struck out 65 times. The Reds have 1,299 hits, including 259 doubles and 154 home runs. They've stolen 124 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 46 times. Cincinnati has walked 427 times this season and they've struck out 1,209 times as a unit. They've left 942 men on base and have a team OPS of .720. They score 4.36 runs per contest and have scored a total of 663 runs so far this year.

Milwaukee comes into this game with a 39-38 home mark and a 68-84 overall record. With an ERA of 3.92, Zach Davies has a 11-7 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 132 strikeouts over the 158.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 159 hits. He has allowed 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.86. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.67 and they have given up 490 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 458 times and walking 200 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.08 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.41 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.11. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,358 base knocks and 615 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 170 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 505 hitters and struck out 1,108. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.40.

As a team, they are batting .244, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .248 average at home. The Brewers hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.02 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .284 and he has an OBP of .367. He has 157 hits this year along with 84 runs scored and 56 RBI. He's struck out 165 times and has walked on 72 occasions. Ryan Braun is hitting .308 and he has an OBP of .371. He has collected 147 hits so far while he's scored 77 runs and drove in 88. He has earned a walk 46 times and has punched out 92 times. The Brewers as a unit have 1,219 base hits, including 232 doubles and 181 homers. They have 168 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 51 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 570 times this year and they have struck out 1,449 times. They've had 1,012 men left on base and have an OPS of .730. They score 4.16 runs per game and have totaled 632 runs so far this season.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 81-61-10 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 78-74-0 against the run line so far this season

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 70-73-9 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 82-70-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

09/19/16 SS Zack Cozart Knee out indefinitely
09/16/16 CF Billy Hamilton Oblique 15-day DL (9/5)
09/16/16 P Cody Reed Back 15-day DL (9/5)
09/14/16 P Alfredo Simon Shoulder 60-day DL (9/12)
09/09/16 P Homer Bailey Bicep out indefinitely
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)

Milwaukee Brewers

09/21/16 CF Kirk Nieuwenhuis Oblique out indefinitely
09/21/16 LF Ryan Braun Personal "?" Thursday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
09/18/16 P Junior Guerra None out for season
09/16/16 CF Keon Broxton Wrist out for season
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers

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