Saturday, May 28, 2016

Miller Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Alfredo Simon vs. Chase Anderson

The Cincinnati Reds visit Miller Park on Saturday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Alfredo Simon for the Reds and Chase Anderson for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +140 and Milwaukee at -150. The over/under was set at 9. The Reds have a 26-18-3 over/under record and a 22-25-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Brewers are 23-24-0 against the run line and have a 24-20-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.

The Reds head into this matchup with a 15-32 record, including 3-17 on the road. Starting pitcher Alfredo Simon has a 1-5 record with an earned run average of 10.16 and a WHIP of 2.15. He has 27 strikeouts over his 36.1 innings pitched and he has given up 61 hits so far this season. He has allowed 15.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.72. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 6.49 and they have given up 175 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the bullpen while being struck out 146 times and walking 100 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.46 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.27 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.46. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 433 base hits and 250 earned runs. They have allowed 76 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 210 batters and struck out 333. They walk 4.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.56 and their FIP as a unit is 5.58.

As a team, Cincinnati is batting .226, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .221 average away from home. The Reds hold a .382 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .281 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.32 hits per game. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .205 and his on-base percentage is at .337. He has 32 hits this season along with 20 runs scored and 24 runs batted in. He's struck out 51 times and has walked 28 times. Zack Cozart is hitting .306 and he has an on-base percentage of .320. He has totaled 44 hits so far while scoring 24 runs and he's driven in 16. He has walked 5 times and has struck out 19 times. The Reds have 344 hits, including 78 doubles and 47 home runs. They've stolen 25 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 15 times. Cincinnati has walked 109 times this season and they've struck out 385 times as a unit. They've left 239 men on base and have a team OPS of .663. They score 3.81 runs per contest and have scored a total of 179 runs so far this year.

Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 12-12 home record and a 21-26 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.33, Chase Anderson has a 2-6 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 39 strikeouts over the 49 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 52 hits. He has allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.65. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.64 and they have given up 159 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 145 times and walking 78 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.29 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 433 base knocks and 213 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 65 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 184 hitters and struck out 345. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 4.89.

As a team, they are batting .240, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .258 average at home. The Brewers hold a .391 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 7.94 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .361 and he has an OBP of .427. He has 53 hits this year along with 23 runs scored and 30 RBI. He's struck out 23 times and has walked on 17 occasions. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .275 and he has an OBP of .341. He has collected 44 hits so far while he's scored 24 runs and drove in 17. He has earned a walk 15 times and has punched out 35 times. The Brewers as a unit have 373 base hits, including 79 doubles and 50 homers. They have 35 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 192 times this year and they have struck out 469 times. They've had 326 men left on base and have an OPS of .715. They score 4.15 runs per game and have totaled 195 runs so far this season.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 26-18-3 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 22-25-0 against the run line so far this season

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 24-20-3 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 23-24-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/09/16 P Jon Moscot Shoulder 15-day DL (5/3)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Milwaukee Brewers

05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 15-day DL (4/2)
05/20/16 RF Domingo Santana Shoulder 15-day DL (5/19)
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)

Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers

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