Sunday, June 19, 2016

Minute Maid Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Brandon Finnegan vs. Mike Fiers

The Cincinnati Reds visit Minute Maid Park on Sunday to play the Houston Astros. The probable starters are Brandon Finnegan for the Reds and Mike Fiers for the Astros. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +150 and Houston at -160. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Reds have a 38-25-5 over/under record and a 36-32-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Astros are 30-38-0 against the run line and have a 31-32-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.

The Reds head into this matchup with a 27-41 record, including 10-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Brandon Finnegan has a 3-4 record with an earned run average of 3.61 and a WHIP of 1.31. He has 58 strikeouts over his 82.1 innings pitched and he has given up 70 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.79. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 6.08 and they have given up 268 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the bullpen while being struck out 214 times and walking 137 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.61 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.07 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.37. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 643 base hits and 359 earned runs. They have allowed 110 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 299 batters and struck out 473. They walk 4.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.57 and their FIP as a unit is 5.59.

As a team, Cincinnati is batting .241, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .241 average away from home. The Reds hold a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 7.96 hits per game. Zack Cozart comes into this game hitting .282 and his on-base percentage is at .319. He has 62 hits this season along with 35 runs scored and 26 runs batted in. He's struck out 32 times and has walked 12 times. Jay Bruce is hitting .272 and he has an on-base percentage of .327. He has totaled 63 hits so far while scoring 40 runs and he's driven in 51. He has walked 18 times and has struck out 53 times. The Reds have 540 hits, including 118 doubles and 79 home runs. They've stolen 47 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 23 times. Cincinnati has walked 173 times this season and they've struck out 573 times as a unit. They've left 366 men on base and have a team OPS of .708. They score 4.37 runs per contest and have scored a total of 297 runs so far this year.

Houston comes into this matchup with a 17-15 home record and a 32-36 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.76, Mike Fiers has a 4-3 record and a 1.30 WHIP. He has 50 strikeouts over the 73.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 83 hits. He has allowed 10.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.76. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.15 and they have given up 192 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the Astros bullpen while being struck out 249 times and walking 54 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 8.99 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.08. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 622 base knocks and 282 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 72 home runs this year and they give up 1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a staff has walked 186 hitters and struck out 581. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 3.74.

As a team, they are batting .236, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .231 average at home. The Astros hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.09 hits per contest. Jose Altuve comes into this matchup batting .342 and he has an OBP of .423. He has 91 hits this year along with 47 runs scored and 38 RBI. He's struck out 28 times and has walked on 35 occasions. Carlos Correa is hitting .256 and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 63 hits so far while he's scored 30 runs and drove in 33. He has earned a walk 33 times and has punched out 71 times. The Astros as a unit have 550 base hits, including 114 doubles and 82 homers. They have 57 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 18 times. Houston as a team has walked 263 times this year and they have struck out 658 times. They've had 477 men left on base and have an OPS of .716. They score 4.16 runs per game and have totaled 283 runs so far this season.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 38-25-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 36-32-0 against the run line so far this season

Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 31-32-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Houston Astros are 30-38-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

06/14/16 C Jordan Pacheco Shoulder 15-day DL (6/13)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Houston Astros

No key injuries to report

Josh's Pick: Take the Reds

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Josh Schonwald