Tuesday, May 17, 2016

Progressive Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Alfredo Simon vs. Danny Salazar

The Cincinnati Reds visit Progressive Field on Tuesday to play the Cleveland Indians. The probable starters are Alfredo Simon for the Reds and Danny Salazar for the Indians. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +185 and Cleveland at -200. The over/under was set at 8. The Reds have a 20-14-3 over/under record and a 19-18-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Indians are 13-21-0 against the run line and have a 17-14-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 38% of the time.

The Reds head into this matchup with a 15-22 record, including 3-12 on the road. Starting pitcher Alfredo Simon has a 1-3 record with an earned run average of 8.67 and a WHIP of 1.89. He has 24 strikeouts over his 27 innings pitched and he has given up 38 hits so far this season. He has allowed 12.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 7.74. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 6.16 and they have given up 141 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the bullpen while being struck out 114 times and walking 69 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.17 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.31 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.08. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 330 base hits and 183 earned runs. They have allowed 64 home runs this season and they allow 1.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 159 batters and struck out 263. They walk 4.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.51 and their FIP as a unit is 5.69.

As a team, Cincinnati is batting .237, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .237 average away from home. The Reds hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.65 hits per game. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .215 and his on-base percentage is at .353. He has 26 hits this season along with 14 runs scored and 20 runs batted in. He's struck out 40 times and has walked 23 times. Zack Cozart is hitting .321 and he has an on-base percentage of .322. He has totaled 35 hits so far while scoring 20 runs and he's driven in 15. He has walked 2 times and has struck out 15 times. The Reds have 283 hits, including 65 doubles and 38 home runs. They've stolen 24 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 14 times. Cincinnati has walked 90 times this season and they've struck out 294 times as a unit. They've left 192 men on base and have a team OPS of .695. They score 4.14 runs per contest and have scored a total of 153 runs so far this year.

Cleveland comes into this matchup with a 9-8 home record and a 17-17 overall mark. With an earned run average of 1.90, Danny Salazar has a 3-2 record and a 1.03 WHIP. He has 53 strikeouts over the 42.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 22 hits. He has allowed 4.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.82. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.87 and they have given up 93 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 100 times and walking 45 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 7.81 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.83. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 267 base knocks and 131 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 38 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 103 hitters and struck out 287. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.20 while their FIP as a staff is 3.90.

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .257 average at home. The Indians hold a .388 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.38 hits per contest. Jason Kipnis comes into this matchup batting .287 and he has an OBP of .333. He has 39 hits this year along with 20 runs scored and 17 RBI. He's struck out 38 times and has walked on 11 occasions. Francisco Lindor is hitting .299 and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 40 hits so far while he's scored 22 runs and drove in 14. He has earned a walk 12 times and has punched out 25 times. The Indians as a unit have 285 base hits, including 58 doubles and 31 homers. They have 22 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 8 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 102 times this year and they have struck out 293 times. They've had 213 men left on base and have an OPS of .695. They score 4.21 runs per game and have totaled 143 runs so far this season.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 20-14-3 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 19-18-0 against the run line so far this season

Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Cleveland Indians are 17-14-3 against the over/under so far this season

The Cleveland Indians are 13-21-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

05/10/16 P John Lamb Thumb "?" for next scheduled start
05/09/16 P Jon Moscot Shoulder 15-day DL (5/3)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Cleveland Indians

05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 15-day DL (5/10)
05/02/16 C Roberto Perez Thumb 60-day DL (5/2)
04/25/16 P Carlos Carrasco Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24)

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds

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