Tuesday, August 23, 2016

Petco Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jake Arrieta vs. Christian Friedrich

The Chicago Cubs visit Petco Park on Tuesday to play the San Diego Padres. The probable starters are Jake Arrieta for the Cubs and Christian Friedrich for the Padres. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -230 and San Diego at +212. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Cubs have a 57-60-6 over/under record and a 66-57-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Padres are 74-50-0 against the run line and have a 65-57-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 60% of the time.

The Cubs head into this matchup with a 78-45 record, including 33-26 on the road. Starting pitcher Jake Arrieta has a 15-5 record with an earned run average of 2.75 and a WHIP of 1.06. He has 152 strikeouts over his 153.2 innings pitched and he has given up 104 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.33. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.63 and they have given up 287 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .216 against the bullpen while being struck out 371 times and walking 152 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.99 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.77 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.12. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 865 base hits and 389 earned runs. They have allowed 128 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 380 batters and struck out 1,082. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.12 and their FIP as a unit is 3.85.

As a team, Chicago is batting .258, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .266 average away from home. The Cubs hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.77 hits per game. Anthony Rizzo comes into this game hitting .295 and his on-base percentage is at .395. He has 132 hits this season along with 75 runs scored and 87 runs batted in. He's struck out 83 times and has walked 62 times. Kris Bryant is hitting .300 and he has an on-base percentage of .392. He has totaled 140 hits so far while scoring 99 runs and he's driven in 83. He has walked 57 times and has struck out 123 times. The Cubs have 1,079 hits, including 226 doubles and 155 home runs. They've stolen 51 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 29 times. Chicago has walked 501 times this season and they've struck out 1,031 times as a unit. They've left 920 men on base and have a team OPS of .778. They score 5.13 runs per contest and have scored a total of 631 runs so far this year.

San Diego comes into this matchup with a 30-31 home record and a 53-71 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.69, Christian Friedrich has a 4-9 record and a 1.46 WHIP. He has 70 strikeouts over the 94 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 100 hits. He has allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.29. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.46 and they have given up 396 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 408 times and walking 180 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.87 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.92 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.52. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,090 base knocks and 555 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 142 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 447 hitters and struck out 973. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.40.

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .247 average at home. The Padres hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 8.06 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this matchup batting .268 and he has an OBP of .345. He has 124 hits this year along with 80 runs scored and 71 RBI. He's struck out 122 times and has walked on 54 occasions. Yangervis Solarte is hitting .285 and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 84 hits so far while he's scored 44 runs and drove in 52. He has earned a walk 26 times and has punched out 45 times. The Padres as a unit have 999 base hits, including 204 doubles and 145 homers. They have 102 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 32 times. San Diego as a team has walked 354 times this year and they have struck out 1,140 times. They've had 745 men left on base and have an OPS of .701. They score 4.39 runs per game and have totaled 544 runs so far this season.

Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 57-60-6 against the over/under so far this season

The Chicago Cubs are 66-57-0 against the run line so far this season

San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The San Diego Padres are 65-57-2 against the over/under so far this season

The San Diego Padres are 74-50-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Chicago Cubs

08/21/16 LF Jorge Soler Leg "?" Monday vs. San Diego Padres
08/19/16 P Hector Rondon Tricep 15-day DL (8/17)
08/19/16 P John Lackey Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15)
08/18/16 2B Chris Coghlan Ribs 15-day DL (8/17)
08/17/16 P Joe Smith Hamstring 15-day DL (8/17)
08/12/16 P Pedro Strop Knee 15-day DL (8/11)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)

San Diego Padres

08/07/16 P Erik Johnson Elbow 60-day DL (7/4), out for season
08/02/16 3B Alexi Amarista Hamstring 15-day DL (8/2)
08/01/16 P Colin Rea Elbow 15-day DL (7/31), out for season
06/28/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm 15-day DL (6/20)
06/28/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 60-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 60-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL (3/25); out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Cubs

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