Monday, June 6, 2016

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jon Lester vs. Adam Morgan

The Chicago Cubs visit Citizens Bank Park on Monday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Jon Lester for the Cubs and Adam Morgan for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -250 and Philadelphia at +229. The over/under was set at 8. The Cubs have a 27-25-2 over/under record and a 34-20-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 63% of the time. The Phillies are 27-29-0 against the run line and have a 23-31-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.

The Cubs head into this matchup with a 39-15 record, including 17-8 on the road. Starting pitcher Jon Lester has a 6-3 record with an earned run average of 2.29 and a WHIP of 1.02. He has 69 strikeouts over his 70.2 innings pitched and he has given up 55 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.22. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.12 and they have given up 103 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .198 against the bullpen while being struck out 152 times and walking 61 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.83 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.54. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 343 base hits and 139 earned runs. They have allowed 42 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 159 batters and struck out 479. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.03 and their FIP as a unit is 3.35.

As a team, Chicago is batting .255, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .268 average away from home. The Cubs hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .354 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.57 hits per game. Ben Zobrist comes into this game hitting .331 and his on-base percentage is at .441. He has 60 hits this season along with 39 runs scored and 35 runs batted in. He's struck out 27 times and has walked 37 times. Kris Bryant is hitting .275 and he has an on-base percentage of .360. He has totaled 58 hits so far while scoring 40 runs and he's driven in 40. He has walked 23 times and has struck out 51 times. The Cubs have 463 hits, including 94 doubles and 65 home runs. They've stolen 26 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 15 times. Chicago has walked 248 times this season and they've struck out 449 times as a unit. They've left 409 men on base and have a team OPS of .777. They score 5.46 runs per contest and have scored a total of 295 runs so far this year.

Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 14-14 home record and a 27-29 overall mark. With an earned run average of 7.07, Adam Morgan has a 1-4 record and a 1.51 WHIP. He has 24 strikeouts over the 35.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 44 hits. He has allowed 11.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.34. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.86 and they have given up 150 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 174 times and walking 78 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 8.24 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.87 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.94. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 454 base knocks and 217 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 71 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 161 hitters and struck out 489. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.05.

As a team, they are batting .230, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .220 average at home. The Phillies hold a .361 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .286 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.46 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .305 and he has an OBP of .418. He has 60 hits this year along with 30 runs scored and 17 RBI. He's struck out 42 times and has walked on 38 occasions. Maikel Franco is hitting .249 and he has an OBP of .295. He has collected 50 hits so far while he's scored 16 runs and drove in 30. He has earned a walk 14 times and has punched out 38 times. The Phillies as a unit have 418 base hits, including 75 doubles and 45 homers. They have 21 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 135 times this year and they have struck out 445 times. They've had 331 men left on base and have an OPS of .648. They score 3.14 runs per game and have totaled 176 runs so far this season.

Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 27-25-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Chicago Cubs are 34-20-0 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 23-31-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 27-29-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Chicago Cubs

05/18/16 P Joe Nathan Elbow 60-day DL (5/17)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)

Philadelphia Phillies

06/03/16 P Jerad Eickhoff Ankle injured last game, "?" for next scheduled start
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)

Tony's Pick: Take the Cubs

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Tony Sink