Sunday, June 26, 2016

Globe Life Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Clay Buchholz vs. Martin Perez

The Boston Red Sox visit Globe Life Park on Sunday to play the Texas Rangers. The probable starters are Clay Buchholz for the Red Sox and Martin Perez for the Rangers. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at -118 and Texas at +108. The over/under was set at 10. The Red Sox have a 39-29-5 over/under record and a 38-35-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Rangers are 47-27-0 against the run line and have a 38-33-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 64% of the time.

The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 41-32 record, including 18-14 on the road. Starting pitcher Clay Buchholz has a 3-7 record with an earned run average of 5.83 and a WHIP of 1.41. He has 49 strikeouts over his 71 innings pitched and he has given up 69 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.71. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.53 and they have given up 185 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the bullpen while being struck out 253 times and walking 89 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.27 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.63 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.25. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 602 base hits and 309 earned runs. They have allowed 86 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 241 batters and struck out 629. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.19.

As a team, Boston is batting .289, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .281 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .473 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .356 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.29 hits per game. Xander Bogaerts comes into this game hitting .349 and his on-base percentage is at .398. He has 107 hits this season along with 56 runs scored and 50 runs batted in. He's struck out 49 times and has walked 25 times. Mookie Betts is hitting .292 and he has an on-base percentage of .334. He has totaled 94 hits so far while scoring 65 runs and he's driven in 53. He has walked 21 times and has struck out 49 times. The Red Sox have 751 hits, including 177 doubles and 88 home runs. They've stolen 48 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Boston has walked 258 times this season and they've struck out 528 times as a unit. They've left 542 men on base and have a team OPS of .829. They score 5.67 runs per contest and have scored a total of 414 runs so far this year.

Texas comes into this matchup with a 26-12 home record and a 47-27 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.57, Martin Perez has a 6-4 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 45 strikeouts over the 90.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 87 hits. He has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.64. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.81 and they have given up 245 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .273 against the Rangers bullpen while being struck out 186 times and walking 79 times this season. As a team, Texas has allowed 8.73 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.68 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.01. The Rangers pitchers as a team have surrendered 646 base knocks and 297 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 90 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Texas as a staff has walked 234 hitters and struck out 494. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 6.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.59.

As a team, they are batting .266, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .281 average at home. The Rangers hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 9.04 hits per contest. Ian Desmond comes into this matchup batting .321 and he has an OBP of .371. He has 92 hits this year along with 52 runs scored and 48 RBI. He's struck out 70 times and has walked on 22 occasions. Nomar Mazara is hitting .287 and he has an OBP of .335. He has collected 72 hits so far while he's scored 30 runs and drove in 30. He has earned a walk 19 times and has punched out 47 times. The Rangers as a unit have 669 base hits, including 118 doubles and 92 homers. They have 45 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Texas as a team has walked 187 times this year and they have struck out 531 times. They've had 458 men left on base and have an OPS of .750. They score 4.8 runs per game and have totaled 355 runs so far this season.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 39-29-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 38-35-0 against the run line so far this season

Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Texas Rangers are 38-33-3 against the over/under so far this season

The Texas Rangers are 47-27-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Boston Red Sox

06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 15-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 15-day DL (6/5)
06/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Neck 15-day DL (6/5)
06/05/16 LF Brock Holt Concussion 15-day DL (6/2)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Texas Rangers

06/22/16 P Colby Lewis Back expected to miss 2 months
06/22/16 P Derek Holland Shoulder 15-day DL (6/21)
06/14/16 P Yu Darvish Shoulder 15-day DL (6/9)
05/28/16 P Tanner Scheppers Knee 60-day DL (3/25)
05/24/16 CF Drew Stubbs Toe 15-day DL (5/23)
04/21/16 P Keone Kela Elbow 60-day DL (4/20)
04/04/16 RF Josh Hamilton Knee 60-day DL (3/25)

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox

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