Tuesday, August 23, 2016

Tropicana Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Clay Buchholz vs. Chris Archer

The Boston Red Sox head to Tropicana Field on Tuesday to take on the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable pitchers are Clay Buchholz for the Red Sox and Chris Archer for the Rays. The opening line for this game has Boston at +100 and Tampa Bay at -110. The over/under is 8. The Red Sox have a 61-57-5 over/under mark and a 61-62-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Rays are 54-68-0 against the run line and have a 57-58-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.

The Red Sox head into this game with a 69-54 record, and they are 31-27 on the road. Starting pitcher Clay Buchholz has a 4-9 record with an ERA of 5.42 and a WHIP of 1.38. He has 62 strikeouts during his 101.1 innings pitched and he has given up 99 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.41. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.92 and they have allowed 324 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the pen while they've been struck out 385 times and walked 148 times this year. As a unit, Boston has given up 8.64 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.38 hitters per nine. They are 16th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.22. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 1,049 base hits and 512 earned runs. They have allowed 138 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 383 batters and struck out 1,017. They walk 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.12.

As a team, Boston is hitting .285, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .266 average on the road. The Red Sox have a .468 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .350 which is good for 1st in the league. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.02 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this game hitting .314 and his on-base percentage is at .355. He has 163 hits this season along with 98 runs scored and 89 runs batted in. He's struck out 69 times and has walked 34 times. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .310 and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 155 hits so far while scoring 87 runs and he's driven in 69. He has walked 39 times and has struck out 86 times. The Red Sox have 1,233 hits, including 272 doubles and 159 home runs. They've stolen 67 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Boston has walked 413 times this season and they've struck out 870 times as a unit. They've left 889 men on base and have a team OPS of .819. They score 5.5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 677 runs so far this year.

Tampa Bay comes into this game with a 30-35 home mark and a 52-70 overall record. With an ERA of 4.18, Chris Archer has a 7-16 record and a 1.28 WHIP. He has 186 strikeouts over the 157 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 145 hits. He has allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.79. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.30 and they have given up 368 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 330 times and walking 125 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.78 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.58 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.13. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,049 base knocks and 494 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 158 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 353 hitters and struck out 1,026. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.21.

As a team, they are batting .242, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .234 average at home. The Rays hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.14 hits per contest. Logan Forsythe comes into this matchup batting .279 and he has an OBP of .339. He has 101 hits this year along with 60 runs scored and 41 RBI. He's struck out 84 times and has walked on 29 occasions. Evan Longoria is hitting .291 and he has an OBP of .342. He has collected 138 hits so far while he's scored 65 runs and drove in 76. He has earned a walk 37 times and has punched out 109 times. The Rays as a unit have 993 base hits, including 215 doubles and 165 homers. They have 47 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 28 times. Tampa Bay as a team has walked 363 times this year and they have struck out 1,099 times. They've had 803 men left on base and have an OPS of .737. They score 4.23 runs per game and have totaled 516 runs so far this season.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 61-57-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 61-62-0 against the run line so far this season

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays are 57-58-7 against the over/under so far this season

The Tampa Bay Rays are 54-68-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Boston Red Sox

08/21/16 P Eduardo Rodriguez Hamstring "?" for next scheduled start
08/15/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder 15-day DL (8/8)
08/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Ankle 15-day DL (8/5)
07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral 15-day DL (7/20)
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Tampa Bay Rays

08/20/16 2B Nick Franklin Concussion 7-day (8/20)
08/07/16 LF Desmond Jennings Knee 15-day DL (8/3)
08/07/16 P Enny Romero Back 15-day DL (8/4)
07/31/16 RF Oswaldo Arcia Elbow 15-day DL (7/27)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Tony's Pick: Take the Rays

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