Wednesday, August 3, 2016

Safeco Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Hisashi Iwakuma

The Boston Red Sox visit Safeco Field on Wednesday to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Rick Porcello for the Red Sox and Hisashi Iwakuma for the Mariners. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at -128 and Seattle at +118. The over/under was set at 8. The Red Sox have a 52-47-5 over/under record and a 52-52-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Mariners are 52-52-0 against the run line and have a 50-49-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.

The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 58-46 record, including 24-21 on the road. Starting pitcher Rick Porcello has a 14-2 record with an earned run average of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.11. He has 111 strikeouts over his 135 innings pitched and he has given up 126 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.59. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.73 and they have given up 279 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the bullpen while being struck out 334 times and walking 122 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.83 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.36 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.32. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 911 base hits and 446 earned runs. They have allowed 116 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 325 batters and struck out 863. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.11.

As a team, Boston is batting .286, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .267 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .472 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .353 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.11 hits per game. Mookie Betts comes into this game hitting .306 and his on-base percentage is at .348. He has 136 hits this season along with 83 runs scored and 70 runs batted in. He's struck out 62 times and has walked 30 times. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .326 and he has an on-base percentage of .381. He has totaled 140 hits so far while scoring 79 runs and he's driven in 67. He has walked 37 times and has struck out 71 times. The Red Sox have 1,051 hits, including 238 doubles and 134 home runs. They've stolen 63 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 14 times. Boston has walked 358 times this season and they've struck out 736 times as a unit. They've left 762 men on base and have a team OPS of .825. They score 5.54 runs per contest and have scored a total of 576 runs so far this year.

Seattle comes into this matchup with a 25-24 home record and a 52-52 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.21, Hisashi Iwakuma has a 11-7 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 96 strikeouts over the 130.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 140 hits. He has allowed 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.46. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.87 and they have given up 289 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 373 times and walking 123 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.73 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.46 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.07. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 904 base knocks and 421 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 135 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 303 hitters and struck out 876. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.23.

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Mariners hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.83 hits per contest. Robinson Cano comes into this matchup batting .301 and he has an OBP of .360. He has 127 hits this year along with 69 runs scored and 65 RBI. He's struck out 66 times and has walked on 33 occasions. Nelson Cruz is hitting .285 and he has an OBP of .370. He has collected 107 hits so far while he's scored 59 runs and drove in 68. He has earned a walk 43 times and has punched out 104 times. The Mariners as a unit have 918 base hits, including 166 doubles and 146 homers. They have 30 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 23 times. Seattle as a team has walked 327 times this year and they have struck out 823 times. They've had 696 men left on base and have an OPS of .760. They score 4.68 runs per game and have totaled 487 runs so far this season.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 52-47-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 52-52-0 against the run line so far this season

Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Seattle Mariners are 50-49-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Seattle Mariners are 52-52-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Boston Red Sox

07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral 15-day DL (7/20)
07/10/16 P Sean O'Sullivan Knee 15-day DL (7/10)
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Seattle Mariners

07/30/16 P Nathan Karns Back 15-day DL (7/30)
07/23/16 SS Ketel Marte Mononucleosis 15-day DL (7/20)
07/06/16 P Taijuan Walker Foot 15-day DL (7/6)
06/30/16 P Nick Vincent Back 15-day DL (6/27)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 60-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)

Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn