Wednesday, September 7, 2016

Petco Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: David Price vs. Jarred Cosart

The Boston Red Sox visit Petco Park on Wednesday to play the San Diego Padres. The probable starters are David Price for the Red Sox and Jarred Cosart for the Padres. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at -210 and San Diego at +194. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Red Sox have a 68-63-6 over/under record and a 68-69-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Padres are 79-58-0 against the run line and have a 70-63-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 58% of the time.

The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 76-61 record, including 35-31 on the road. Starting pitcher David Price has a 14-8 record with an earned run average of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.22. He has 193 strikeouts over his 190.2 innings pitched and he has given up 188 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.43. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.88 and they have given up 355 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen while being struck out 418 times and walking 158 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.52 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.37 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.13. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 1,152 base hits and 559 earned runs. They have allowed 151 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 419 batters and struck out 1,132. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.08.

As a team, Boston is batting .286, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .266 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .351 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.06 hits per game. Mookie Betts comes into this game hitting .317 and his on-base percentage is at .358. He has 182 hits this season along with 104 runs scored and 100 runs batted in. He's struck out 78 times and has walked 39 times. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .303 and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 168 hits so far while scoring 98 runs and he's driven in 79. He has walked 47 times and has struck out 102 times. The Red Sox have 1,378 hits, including 305 doubles and 173 home runs. They've stolen 71 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Boston has walked 464 times this season and they've struck out 993 times as a unit. They've left 991 men on base and have a team OPS of .817. They score 5.49 runs per contest and have scored a total of 752 runs so far this year.

San Diego comes into this matchup with a 31-34 home record and a 57-80 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.14, Jarred Cosart has a 0-2 record and a 1.67 WHIP. He has 32 strikeouts over the 49 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 51 hits. He has allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.4. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.46 and they have given up 444 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 446 times and walking 199 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 9.03 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.81 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.55. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,222 base knocks and 615 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 155 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 496 hitters and struck out 1,057. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.41.

As a team, they are batting .235, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .243 average at home. The Padres hold a .393 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.88 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this matchup batting .257 and he has an OBP of .332. He has 131 hits this year along with 83 runs scored and 76 RBI. He's struck out 138 times and has walked on 56 occasions. Yangervis Solarte is hitting .276 and he has an OBP of .336. He has collected 94 hits so far while he's scored 49 runs and drove in 58. He has earned a walk 28 times and has punched out 53 times. The Padres as a unit have 1,079 base hits, including 218 doubles and 155 homers. They have 114 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 37 times. San Diego as a team has walked 388 times this year and they have struck out 1,279 times. They've had 817 men left on base and have an OPS of .692. They score 4.25 runs per game and have totaled 582 runs so far this season.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 68-63-6 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 68-69-0 against the run line so far this season

San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The San Diego Padres are 70-63-4 against the over/under so far this season

The San Diego Padres are 79-58-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Boston Red Sox

09/06/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder "?" for next start
08/25/16 LF Andrew Benintendi Knee 15-day DL (8/25)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

San Diego Padres

09/01/16 C Christian Bethancourt Ribs 15-day DL (8/31)
08/27/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm 60-day DL (6/20)
08/23/16 RF Jabari Blash Finger 15-day DL (8/19)
08/07/16 P Erik Johnson Elbow 60-day DL (7/4), out for season
08/01/16 P Colin Rea Elbow 15-day DL (7/31), out for season
06/28/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 60-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 60-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 60-day DL (4/5)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL (3/25); out for season

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox

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