Tuesday, September 6, 2016

Petco Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Clay Buchholz vs. Paul Clemens

The Boston Red Sox head to Petco Park on Tuesday to take on the San Diego Padres. The probable pitchers are Clay Buchholz for the Red Sox and Paul Clemens for the Padres. The opening line for this game has Boston at -186 and San Diego at +176. The over/under is 8.5. The Red Sox have a 68-62-6 over/under mark and a 68-68-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Padres are 78-58-0 against the run line and have a 70-62-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 57% of the time.

The Red Sox head into this game with a 76-60 record, and they are 35-30 on the road. Starting pitcher Clay Buchholz has a 5-10 record with an ERA of 5.20 and a WHIP of 1.37. He has 72 strikeouts during his 110.2 innings pitched and he has given up 107 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.29. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.90 and they have allowed 355 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the pen while they've been struck out 415 times and walked 158 times this year. As a unit, Boston has given up 8.53 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.37 hitters per nine. They are 14th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.15. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 1,146 base hits and 557 earned runs. They have allowed 150 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 417 batters and struck out 1,124. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.08.

As a team, Boston is hitting .286, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .267 average on the road. The Red Sox have a .467 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .351 which is good for 1st in the league. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.08 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this game hitting .318 and his on-base percentage is at .359. He has 182 hits this season along with 104 runs scored and 100 runs batted in. He's struck out 77 times and has walked 38 times. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .304 and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 168 hits so far while scoring 98 runs and he's driven in 79. He has walked 46 times and has struck out 100 times. The Red Sox have 1,371 hits, including 304 doubles and 172 home runs. They've stolen 71 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Boston has walked 462 times this season and they've struck out 979 times as a unit. They've left 985 men on base and have a team OPS of .818. They score 5.52 runs per contest and have scored a total of 751 runs so far this year.

San Diego comes into this game with a 30-34 home mark and a 56-80 overall record. With an ERA of 4.93, Paul Clemens has a 2-4 record and a 1.62 WHIP. He has 35 strikeouts over the 45.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 50 hits. He has allowed 9.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.17. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.46 and they have given up 441 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 443 times and walking 199 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 9.05 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.77 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,215 base knocks and 614 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 154 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 494 hitters and struck out 1,043. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.43.

As a team, they are batting .235, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .244 average at home. The Padres hold a .394 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.9 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this matchup batting .259 and he has an OBP of .335. He has 131 hits this year along with 83 runs scored and 76 RBI. He's struck out 137 times and has walked on 56 occasions. Yangervis Solarte is hitting .279 and he has an OBP of .340. He has collected 94 hits so far while he's scored 49 runs and drove in 58. He has earned a walk 28 times and has punched out 52 times. The Padres as a unit have 1,074 base hits, including 217 doubles and 154 homers. They have 113 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 36 times. San Diego as a team has walked 386 times this year and they have struck out 1,271 times. They've had 812 men left on base and have an OPS of .693. They score 4.26 runs per game and have totaled 580 runs so far this season.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 68-62-6 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 68-68-0 against the run line so far this season

San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The San Diego Padres are 70-62-4 against the over/under so far this season

The San Diego Padres are 78-58-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Boston Red Sox

09/04/16 DH David Ortiz Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup for series vs. San Diego Padres
09/03/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder expected to miss next scheduled start Tuesday vs San Diego Padres
08/25/16 LF Andrew Benintendi Knee 15-day DL (8/25)
07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral 15-day DL (7/20)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

San Diego Padres

09/01/16 C Christian Bethancourt Ribs 15-day DL (8/31)
08/27/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm 60-day DL (6/20)
08/23/16 RF Jabari Blash Finger 15-day DL (8/19)
08/07/16 P Erik Johnson Elbow 60-day DL (7/4), out for season
08/01/16 P Colin Rea Elbow 15-day DL (7/31), out for season
06/28/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 60-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 60-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 60-day DL (4/5)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL (3/25); out for season

Guy's Pick: Take the Padres

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn