Monday, September 5, 2016

Petco Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Drew Pomeranz vs. Edwin Jackson

The Boston Red Sox visit Petco Park on Monday to play the San Diego Padres. The probable starters are Drew Pomeranz for the Red Sox and Edwin Jackson for the Padres. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at -210 and San Diego at +194. The over/under was set at 8. The Red Sox have a 68-61-6 over/under record and a 68-67-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Padres are 78-57-0 against the run line and have a 69-62-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 58% of the time.

The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 76-59 record, including 35-29 on the road. Starting pitcher Drew Pomeranz has a 10-10 record with an earned run average of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.14. He has 169 strikeouts over his 153 innings pitched and he has given up 116 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.56. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.90 and they have given up 354 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the bullpen while being struck out 415 times and walking 157 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.57 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.39 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.17. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 1,144 base hits and 557 earned runs. They have allowed 150 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 414 batters and struck out 1,119. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.08.

As a team, Boston is batting .287, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .268 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .469 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .352 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.11 hits per game. Mookie Betts comes into this game hitting .319 and his on-base percentage is at .359. He has 181 hits this season along with 104 runs scored and 100 runs batted in. He's struck out 76 times and has walked 38 times. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .307 and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 168 hits so far while scoring 98 runs and he's driven in 79. He has walked 46 times and has struck out 99 times. The Red Sox have 1,365 hits, including 304 doubles and 172 home runs. They've stolen 71 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Boston has walked 459 times this season and they've struck out 970 times as a unit. They've left 976 men on base and have a team OPS of .821. They score 5.56 runs per contest and have scored a total of 751 runs so far this year.

San Diego comes into this matchup with a 30-34 home record and a 56-79 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.26, Edwin Jackson has a 3-5 record and a 1.68 WHIP. He has 32 strikeouts over the 54.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 63 hits. He has allowed 10.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.53. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.43 and they have given up 438 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 440 times and walking 196 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 9.04 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.77 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.55. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,206 base knocks and 607 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 152 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 488 hitters and struck out 1,036. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.41.

As a team, they are batting .235, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .244 average at home. The Padres hold a .394 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.9 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this matchup batting .259 and he has an OBP of .335. He has 130 hits this year along with 83 runs scored and 76 RBI. He's struck out 136 times and has walked on 56 occasions. Yangervis Solarte is hitting .272 and he has an OBP of .335. He has collected 91 hits so far while he's scored 48 runs and drove in 55. He has earned a walk 28 times and has punched out 52 times. The Padres as a unit have 1,066 base hits, including 217 doubles and 153 homers. They have 113 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 36 times. San Diego as a team has walked 385 times this year and they have struck out 1,259 times. They've had 809 men left on base and have an OPS of .693. They score 4.27 runs per game and have totaled 576 runs so far this season.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 68-61-6 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 68-67-0 against the run line so far this season

San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The San Diego Padres are 69-62-4 against the over/under so far this season

The San Diego Padres are 78-57-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Boston Red Sox

09/03/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder expected to miss next scheduled start Tuesday vs San Diego Padres
08/25/16 LF Andrew Benintendi Knee 15-day DL (8/25)
07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral 15-day DL (7/20)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

San Diego Padres

09/01/16 C Christian Bethancourt Ribs 15-day DL (8/31)
08/27/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm 60-day DL (6/20)
08/23/16 RF Jabari Blash Finger 15-day DL (8/19)
08/07/16 P Erik Johnson Elbow 60-day DL (7/4), out for season
08/01/16 P Colin Rea Elbow 15-day DL (7/31), out for season
06/28/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 60-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 60-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 60-day DL (4/5)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL (3/25); out for season

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox

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