Saturday, July 16, 2016

Yankee Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Eduardo Rodriguez vs. CC Sabathia

The Boston Red Sox head to Yankee Stadium on Saturday to take on the New York Yankees. The probable pitchers are Eduardo Rodriguez for the Red Sox and CC Sabathia for the Yankees. The opening line for this game has Boston at +118 and New York at -128. The over/under is 9.5. The Red Sox have a 47-35-5 over/under mark and a 44-43-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Yankees are 40-48-0 against the run line and have a 40-39-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.

The Red Sox head into this game with a 49-38 record, and they are 19-18 on the road. Starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez has a 1-3 record with an ERA of 8.59 and a WHIP of 1.74. He has 21 strikeouts during his 29.1 innings pitched and he has given up 39 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 12 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.96. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.88 and they have allowed 236 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the pen while they've been struck out 299 times and walked 107 times this year. As a unit, Boston has given up 8.77 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.64 hitters per nine. They are 19th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.43. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 758 base hits and 383 earned runs. They have allowed 105 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 282 batters and struck out 747. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.26.

As a team, Boston is hitting .292, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .277 average on the road. The Red Sox have a .474 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .359 which is good for 1st in the league. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.38 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this game hitting .329 and his on-base percentage is at .388. He has 117 hits this season along with 65 runs scored and 56 runs batted in. He's struck out 58 times and has walked 34 times. Mookie Betts is hitting .304 and he has an on-base percentage of .344. He has totaled 117 hits so far while scoring 75 runs and he's driven in 59. He has walked 24 times and has struck out 55 times. The Red Sox have 903 hits, including 216 doubles and 103 home runs. They've stolen 59 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. Boston has walked 308 times this season and they've struck out 617 times as a unit. They've left 659 men on base and have a team OPS of .833. They score 5.63 runs per contest and have scored a total of 490 runs so far this year.

New York comes into this game with a 23-18 home mark and a 44-44 overall record. With an ERA of 3.77, CC Sabathia has a 5-6 record and a 1.34 WHIP. He has 72 strikeouts over the 88.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 84 hits. He has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.82. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.78 and they have given up 220 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 323 times and walking 73 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.84 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.07 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.45. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 758 base knocks and 381 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 116 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 211 hitters and struck out 777. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.07.

As a team, they are batting .252, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .252 average at home. The Yankees hold a .398 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.51 hits per contest. Carlos Beltran comes into this matchup batting .299 and he has an OBP of .338. He has 89 hits this year along with 45 runs scored and 56 RBI. He's struck out 59 times and has walked on 17 occasions. Jacoby Ellsbury is hitting .279 and he has an OBP of .347. He has collected 82 hits so far while he's scored 37 runs and drove in 29. He has earned a walk 29 times and has punched out 41 times. The Yankees as a unit have 749 base hits, including 133 doubles and 93 homers. They have 44 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 13 times. New York as a team has walked 253 times this year and they have struck out 611 times. They've had 594 men left on base and have an OPS of .711. They score 4.22 runs per game and have totaled 371 runs so far this season.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 47-35-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 44-43-0 against the run line so far this season

New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees are 40-39-9 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Yankees are 40-48-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Boston Red Sox

07/15/16 P Junichi Tazawa Shoulder 15-day DL (7/4)
07/11/16 1B Hanley Ramirez Shin "?" Friday vs. New York Yankees
07/10/16 P Sean O'Sullivan Knee 15-day DL (7/10)
07/09/16 P Craig Kimbrel Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

New York Yankees

06/10/16 1B Chris Parmelee Hamstring 15-day DL (6/10)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season

Guy's Pick: Take the Yankees

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn