Sunday, June 12, 2016

Target Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Pat Dean

The Boston Red Sox head to Target Field on Sunday to take on the Minnesota Twins. The probable pitchers are Rick Porcello for the Red Sox and Pat Dean for the Twins. The opening line for this game has Boston at -155 and Minnesota at +145. The over/under is 9. The Red Sox have a 32-23-5 over/under mark and a 35-25-0 run line record, meaning they cover 58% of the time. The Twins are 25-35-0 against the run line and have a 34-22-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.

The Red Sox head into this game with a 35-25 record, and they are 16-13 on the road. Starting pitcher Rick Porcello has a 7-2 record with an ERA of 4.04 and a WHIP of 1.08. He has 68 strikeouts during his 75.2 innings pitched and he has given up 67 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.26. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.61 and they have allowed 152 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the pen while they've been struck out 204 times and walked 76 times this year. As a unit, Boston has given up 8.12 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.64 hitters per nine. They are 20th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.24. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 483 base hits and 252 earned runs. They have allowed 67 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 209 batters and struck out 515. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.16.

As a team, Boston is hitting .291, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .281 average on the road. The Red Sox have a .484 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .356 which is good for 1st in the league. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.43 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this game hitting .349 and his on-base percentage is at .398. He has 88 hits this season along with 47 runs scored and 40 runs batted in. He's struck out 44 times and has walked 20 times. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .320 and he has an on-base percentage of .379. He has totaled 77 hits so far while scoring 42 runs and he's driven in 27. He has walked 23 times and has struck out 35 times. The Red Sox have 626 hits, including 156 doubles and 74 home runs. They've stolen 43 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 5 times. Boston has walked 205 times this season and they've struck out 445 times as a unit. They've left 442 men on base and have a team OPS of .839. They score 5.83 runs per contest and have scored a total of 350 runs so far this year.

Minnesota comes into this game with a 11-20 home mark and a 18-42 overall record. With an ERA of 4.75, Pat Dean has a 1-2 record and a 1.48 WHIP. He has 25 strikeouts over the 30.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 37 hits. He has allowed 11 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.98. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.43 and they have given up 231 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .277 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 215 times and walking 65 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.35 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.05 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.13. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 611 base knocks and 303 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 84 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 162 hitters and struck out 475. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.39.

As a team, they are batting .244, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .254 average at home. The Twins hold a .394 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.35 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .280 and he has an OBP of .386. He has 60 hits this year along with 23 runs scored and 22 RBI. He's struck out 40 times and has walked on 37 occasions. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .330 and he has an OBP of .355. He has collected 66 hits so far while he's scored 31 runs and drove in 24. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 31 times. The Twins as a unit have 501 base hits, including 99 doubles and 64 homers. They have 37 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 14 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 180 times this year and they have struck out 532 times. They've had 425 men left on base and have an OPS of .704. They score 3.77 runs per game and have totaled 226 runs so far this season.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 32-23-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 35-25-0 against the run line so far this season

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 34-22-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Minnesota Twins are 25-35-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Boston Red Sox

06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 15-day DL (6/5)
06/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Neck 15-day DL (6/5)
06/05/16 LF Brock Holt Concussion 15-day DL (6/2)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Minnesota Twins

06/10/16 LF Oswaldo Arcia Foot "?" Saturday vs. Boston Red Sox
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 15-day DL (6/10)
06/10/16 P Trevor May Back 15-day DL (6/10)
05/31/16 CF Danny Santana Hamstring 15-day DL (5/31)
05/31/16 3B Miguel Sano Hamstring 15-day DL (6/1)
05/25/16 RF Darin Mastroianni Oblique 15-day DL (5/22)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11)

Guy's Pick: Take the Twins

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn