Thursday, July 28, 2016

Angel Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: David Price vs. Jered Weaver

The Boston Red Sox visit Angel Stadium on Thursday to play the Los Angeles Angels. The probable starters are David Price for the Red Sox and Jered Weaver for the Angels. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at -159 and Los Angeles at +149. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Red Sox have a 52-41-5 over/under record and a 49-49-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Angels are 48-53-0 against the run line and have a 43-55-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.

The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 55-43 record, including 21-19 on the road. Starting pitcher David Price has a 9-7 record with an earned run average of 4.51 and a WHIP of 1.28. He has 145 strikeouts over his 135.2 innings pitched and he has given up 143 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.35. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.86 and they have given up 270 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the bullpen while being struck out 322 times and walking 116 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.86 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.43 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.43. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 862 base hits and 431 earned runs. They have allowed 113 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 309 batters and struck out 821. They walk 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.16.

As a team, Boston is batting .290, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .273 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .477 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .356 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.3 hits per game. Mookie Betts comes into this game hitting .305 and his on-base percentage is at .344. He has 129 hits this season along with 80 runs scored and 64 runs batted in. He's struck out 58 times and has walked 26 times. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .332 and he has an on-base percentage of .389. He has totaled 134 hits so far while scoring 75 runs and he's driven in 62. He has walked 36 times and has struck out 64 times. The Red Sox have 1,009 hits, including 233 doubles and 125 home runs. They've stolen 61 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Boston has walked 339 times this season and they've struck out 688 times as a unit. They've left 728 men on base and have a team OPS of .833. They score 5.68 runs per contest and have scored a total of 557 runs so far this year.

Los Angeles comes into this matchup with a 22-26 home record and a 45-55 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.32, Jered Weaver has a 8-8 record and a 1.45 WHIP. He has 61 strikeouts over the 111.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 131 hits. He has allowed 10.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.66. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.83 and they have given up 323 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Angels bullpen while being struck out 260 times and walking 114 times this season. As a team, Los Angeles has allowed 7.34 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.46 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.49. The Angels pitchers as a team have surrendered 918 base knocks and 430 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 134 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 310 hitters and struck out 713. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 4.68.

As a team, they are batting .245, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .236 average at home. The Angels hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.36 hits per contest. Kole Calhoun comes into this matchup batting .283 and he has an OBP of .364. He has 105 hits this year along with 63 runs scored and 54 RBI. He's struck out 71 times and has walked on 46 occasions. Mike Trout is hitting .314 and he has an OBP of .425. He has collected 112 hits so far while he's scored 78 runs and drove in 65. He has earned a walk 67 times and has punched out 81 times. The Angels as a unit have 914 base hits, including 181 doubles and 95 homers. They have 39 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 20 times. Los Angeles as a team has walked 296 times this year and they have struck out 586 times. They've had 661 men left on base and have an OPS of .743. They score 4.68 runs per game and have totaled 468 runs so far this season.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 52-41-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 49-49-0 against the run line so far this season

Los Angeles Angels Betting Trends

The Los Angeles Angels are 43-55-3 against the over/under so far this season

The Los Angeles Angels are 48-53-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Boston Red Sox

07/26/16 C Ryan Hanigan Flu "?" Wednesday vs. Detroit Tigers
07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral 15-day DL (7/20)
07/10/16 P Sean O'Sullivan Knee 15-day DL (7/10)
07/09/16 P Craig Kimbrel Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Los Angeles Angels

07/20/16 P Nick Tropeano Elbow 15-day DL (7/19)
07/19/16 2B Cliff Pennington Hamstring 60-day DL (6/1)
07/19/16 C Geovany Soto Knee 15-day DL (7/16)
07/09/16 1B C.J. Cron Hand 15-day DL (7/8)
07/06/16 LF Shane Robinson Ankle 15-day DL (7/6)
06/14/16 P Cory Rasmus Groin 60-day DL (6/14)
05/10/16 P Garrett Richards Elbow 60-day DL (5/2)
05/02/16 LF Craig Gentry Back 60-day DL (4/26)
04/06/16 P Andrew Heaney Elbow 60-day DL (4/4), out for season
04/03/16 P C.J. Wilson Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25), out for season

Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn