Friday, August 19, 2016

Comerica Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Michael Fulmer

The Boston Red Sox head to Comerica Park on Friday to take on the Detroit Tigers. The probable pitchers are Rick Porcello for the Red Sox and Michael Fulmer for the Tigers. The opening line for this game has Boston at -105 and Detroit at -105. The over/under is 8.5. The Red Sox have a 59-55-5 over/under mark and a 59-60-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Tigers are 65-55-0 against the run line and have a 59-55-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.

The Red Sox head into this game with a 67-52 record, and they are 29-25 on the road. Starting pitcher Rick Porcello has a 16-3 record with an ERA of 3.30 and a WHIP of 1.05. He has 129 strikeouts during his 158 innings pitched and he has given up 140 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.69. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.89 and they have allowed 314 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the pen while they've been struck out 374 times and walked 143 times this year. As a unit, Boston has given up 8.67 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.38 hitters per nine. They are 16th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.21. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 1,019 base hits and 495 earned runs. They have allowed 133 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 371 batters and struck out 986. They walk 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.11.

As a team, Boston is hitting .285, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .265 average on the road. The Red Sox have a .470 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .351 which is good for 1st in the league. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.03 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this game hitting .317 and his on-base percentage is at .358. He has 159 hits this season along with 96 runs scored and 89 runs batted in. He's struck out 67 times and has walked 33 times. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .311 and he has an on-base percentage of .367. He has totaled 150 hits so far while scoring 84 runs and he's driven in 69. He has walked 39 times and has struck out 83 times. The Red Sox have 1,193 hits, including 266 doubles and 154 home runs. They've stolen 66 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Boston has walked 402 times this season and they've struck out 839 times as a unit. They've left 862 men on base and have a team OPS of .820. They score 5.51 runs per contest and have scored a total of 656 runs so far this year.

Detroit comes into this game with a 33-24 home mark and a 63-57 overall record. With an ERA of 2.25, Michael Fulmer has a 10-3 record and a 1.02 WHIP. He has 103 strikeouts over the 120 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 90 hits. He has allowed 6.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.46. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.22 and they have given up 383 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 311 times and walking 121 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.07 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.45 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.21. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,075 base knocks and 499 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 132 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff has walked 343 hitters and struck out 883. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.17.

As a team, they are batting .265, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .273 average at home. The Tigers hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.16 hits per contest. Ian Kinsler comes into this matchup batting .284 and he has an OBP of .343. He has 137 hits this year along with 92 runs scored and 63 RBI. He's struck out 96 times and has walked on 34 occasions. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .307 and he has an OBP of .381. He has collected 137 hits so far while he's scored 66 runs and drove in 77. He has earned a walk 54 times and has punched out 88 times. The Tigers as a unit have 1,099 base hits, including 177 doubles and 157 homers. They have 49 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. Detroit as a team has walked 351 times this year and they have struck out 978 times. They've had 817 men left on base and have an OPS of .760. They score 4.61 runs per game and have totaled 553 runs so far this season.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 59-55-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 59-60-0 against the run line so far this season

Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 59-55-6 against the over/under so far this season

The Detroit Tigers are 65-55-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Boston Red Sox

08/17/16 DH David Ortiz Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. Detroit Tigers
08/16/16 P Eduardo Rodriguez Hamstring left last game, "?" for next scheduled start
08/15/16 1B Hanley Ramirez Personal out indefinitely
08/15/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder 15-day DL (8/8)
08/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Ankle 15-day DL (8/5)
07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral 15-day DL (7/20)
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Detroit Tigers

08/18/16 1B Miguel Cabrera Bicep probable Thursday vs. Boston Red Sox
08/18/16 LF Tyler Collins Knee expected to miss Thursday vs. Boston Red Sox
08/13/16 SS Jose Iglesias Hamstring 15-day DL (8/11)
08/09/16 CF Cameron Maybin Thumb 15-day DL (8/9)
08/07/16 P Jordan Zimmerman Neck 15-day DL (8/5)
08/07/16 3B Nick Castellanos Hand 15-day DL (8/7)
08/02/16 P Mike Pelfrey Back 15-day DL (8/2)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23), out for season
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)

Tony's Pick: Take the Tigers

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