Thursday, June 2, 2016

Oriole Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Ubaldo Jimenez

The Boston Red Sox head to Oriole Park on Thursday to take on the Baltimore Orioles. The probable pitchers are Rick Porcello for the Red Sox and Ubaldo Jimenez for the Orioles. The opening line for this game has Boston at -115 and Baltimore at +105. The over/under is 9. The Red Sox have a 28-20-4 over/under mark and a 32-20-0 run line record, meaning they cover 62% of the time. The Orioles are 26-24-0 against the run line and have a 23-24-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.

The Red Sox head into this game with a 32-20 record, and they are 14-10 on the road. Starting pitcher Rick Porcello has a 7-2 record with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.10. He has 59 strikeouts during his 63.2 innings pitched and he has given up 56 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.84. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.28 and they have allowed 135 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the pen while they've been struck out 183 times and walked 65 times this year. As a unit, Boston has given up 8.22 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.93 hitters per nine. They are 18th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.13. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 426 base hits and 214 earned runs. They have allowed 51 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 178 batters and struck out 463. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 3.87.

As a team, Boston is hitting .294, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .278 average on the road. The Red Sox have a .489 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .358 which is good for 1st in the league. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.52 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this game hitting .350 and his on-base percentage is at .401. He has 76 hits this season along with 42 runs scored and 30 runs batted in. He's struck out 37 times and has walked 18 times. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .309 and he has an on-base percentage of .370. He has totaled 64 hits so far while scoring 38 runs and he's driven in 25. He has walked 20 times and has struck out 32 times. The Red Sox have 547 hits, including 134 doubles and 65 home runs. They've stolen 35 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 4 times. Boston has walked 177 times this season and they've struck out 391 times as a unit. They've left 381 men on base and have a team OPS of .848. They score 5.92 runs per contest and have scored a total of 308 runs so far this year.

Baltimore comes into this game with a 17-10 home mark and a 28-22 overall record. With an ERA of 6.36, Ubaldo Jimenez has a 2-6 record and a 1.87 WHIP. He has 45 strikeouts over the 52.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 68 hits. He has allowed 11.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.48. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.69 and they have given up 150 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 153 times and walking 61 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.91. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 429 base knocks and 193 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 50 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 165 hitters and struck out 380. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.09.

As a team, they are batting .256, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .256 average at home. The Orioles hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.72 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .317 and he has an OBP of .389. He has 64 hits this year along with 38 runs scored and 29 RBI. He's struck out 40 times and has walked on 23 occasions. Mark Trumbo is hitting .283 and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 56 hits so far while he's scored 28 runs and drove in 37. He has earned a walk 13 times and has punched out 59 times. The Orioles as a unit have 436 base hits, including 95 doubles and 69 homers. They have 8 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 6 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 155 times this year and they have struck out 431 times. They've had 336 men left on base and have an OPS of .757. They score 4.36 runs per game and have totaled 218 runs so far this season.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 28-20-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 32-20-0 against the run line so far this season

Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 23-24-3 against the over/under so far this season

The Baltimore Orioles are 26-24-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Boston Red Sox

05/31/16 CF Jackie Bradley Jr. Personal expected to miss series vs Baltimore Orioles
05/20/16 LF Brock Holt Concussion 7-day DL (5/19)
05/20/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 15-day DL (5/15)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Baltimore Orioles

05/31/16 C Caleb Joseph Groin 15-day DL (5/30)
05/03/16 SS J.J. Hardy Foot 15-day DL (5/2)
04/23/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)

Guy's Pick: Take the Orioles

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