Wednesday, June 1, 2016

Oriole Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Joe Kelly vs. Mike Wright

The Boston Red Sox visit Oriole Park on Wednesday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Joe Kelly for the Red Sox and Mike Wright for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at -115 and Baltimore at +105. The over/under was set at 9. The Red Sox have a 28-19-4 over/under record and a 31-20-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 61% of the time. The Orioles are 26-23-0 against the run line and have a 23-23-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.

The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 31-20 record, including 13-10 on the road. Starting pitcher Joe Kelly has a 2-0 record with an earned run average of 6.30 and a WHIP of 2.00. He has 26 strikeouts over his 20 innings pitched and he has given up 24 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.81. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.34 and they have given up 134 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the bullpen while being struck out 177 times and walking 65 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.24 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.93 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.17. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 419 base hits and 212 earned runs. They have allowed 51 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 178 batters and struck out 454. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 3.92.

As a team, Boston is batting .295, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .278 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .487 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .359 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.53 hits per game. Xander Bogaerts comes into this game hitting .354 and his on-base percentage is at .405. He has 75 hits this season along with 42 runs scored and 30 runs batted in. He's struck out 36 times and has walked 18 times. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .307 and he has an on-base percentage of .369. He has totaled 62 hits so far while scoring 37 runs and he's driven in 24. He has walked 20 times and has struck out 30 times. The Red Sox have 537 hits, including 133 doubles and 61 home runs. They've stolen 35 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 4 times. Boston has walked 175 times this season and they've struck out 381 times as a unit. They've left 375 men on base and have a team OPS of .846. They score 5.92 runs per contest and have scored a total of 302 runs so far this year.

Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 17-9 home record and a 28-21 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.05, Mike Wright has a 2-3 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 34 strikeouts over the 46.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 49 hits. He has allowed 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.34. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.68 and they have given up 145 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 151 times and walking 61 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.67 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.66 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.87. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 419 base knocks and 187 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 46 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 163 hitters and struck out 370. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.02.

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .258 average at home. The Orioles hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.76 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .313 and he has an OBP of .387. He has 62 hits this year along with 38 runs scored and 29 RBI. He's struck out 40 times and has walked on 23 occasions. Mark Trumbo is hitting .289 and he has an OBP of .340. He has collected 56 hits so far while he's scored 28 runs and drove in 37. He has earned a walk 13 times and has punched out 58 times. The Orioles as a unit have 429 base hits, including 92 doubles and 69 homers. They have 8 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 6 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 155 times this year and they have struck out 422 times. They've had 331 men left on base and have an OPS of .762. They score 4.41 runs per game and have totaled 216 runs so far this season.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 28-19-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 31-20-0 against the run line so far this season

Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 23-23-3 against the over/under so far this season

The Baltimore Orioles are 26-23-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Boston Red Sox

05/31/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2); expected to be activated and start Tuesday vs. Baltimore Orioles
05/20/16 LF Brock Holt Concussion 7-day DL (5/19)
05/20/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 15-day DL (5/15)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Baltimore Orioles

05/03/16 SS J.J. Hardy Foot 15-day DL (5/2)
04/23/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox

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