Wednesday, September 28, 2016

Rogers Centre

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Chris Tillman vs. Francisco Liriano

The Baltimore Orioles visit Rogers Centre on Wednesday to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are Chris Tillman for the Orioles and Francisco Liriano for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +125 and Toronto at -135. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Orioles have a 65-87-4 over/under record and a 78-78-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Blue Jays are 77-79-0 against the run line and have a 63-87-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.

The Orioles head into this matchup with a 85-71 record, including 35-40 on the road. Starting pitcher Chris Tillman has a 16-6 record with an earned run average of 3.84 and a WHIP of 1.28. He has 138 strikeouts over his 166.1 innings pitched and he has given up 149 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.23. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.42 and they have given up 485 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the bullpen while being struck out 489 times and walking 202 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.85 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.28. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 1,365 base hits and 656 earned runs. They have allowed 179 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 524 batters and struck out 1,204. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.32.

As a team, Baltimore is batting .256, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .253 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.72 hits per game. Adam Jones comes into this game hitting .269 and his on-base percentage is at .315. He has 159 hits this season along with 85 runs scored and 82 runs batted in. He's struck out 109 times and has walked 38 times. Manny Machado is hitting .301 and he has an on-base percentage of .352. He has totaled 186 hits so far while scoring 103 runs and he's driven in 94. He has walked 47 times and has struck out 112 times. The Orioles have 1,359 hits, including 257 doubles and 245 home runs. They've stolen 17 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Baltimore has walked 449 times this season and they've struck out 1,269 times as a unit. They've left 1,021 men on base and have a team OPS of .762. They score 4.62 runs per contest and have scored a total of 720 runs so far this year.

Toronto comes into this matchup with a 45-33 home record and a 86-70 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.88, Francisco Liriano has a 8-13 record and a 1.50 WHIP. He has 158 strikeouts over the 156.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 151 hits. He has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.06. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.09 and they have given up 435 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 456 times and walking 134 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.27 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.09 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.81. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,293 base knocks and 596 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 179 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 444 hitters and struck out 1,264. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.06.

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .261 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.44 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this matchup batting .284 and he has an OBP of .403. He has 158 hits this year along with 121 runs scored and 96 RBI. He's struck out 114 times and has walked on 105 occasions. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .269 and he has an OBP of .361. He has collected 156 hits so far while he's scored 98 runs and drove in 126. He has earned a walk 83 times and has punched out 134 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 1,317 base hits, including 267 doubles and 217 homers. They have 52 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 23 times. Toronto as a team has walked 605 times this year and they have struck out 1,315 times. They've had 1,074 men left on base and have an OPS of .759. They score 4.76 runs per game and have totaled 743 runs so far this season.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 65-87-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Baltimore Orioles are 78-78-0 against the run line so far this season

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays are 63-87-6 against the over/under so far this season

The Toronto Blue Jays are 77-79-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Baltimore Orioles

09/27/16 P Kevin Gausman Ribs expected to start Tuesday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
09/18/16 RF Steve Pearce Elbow 60-day DL (9/18)
09/01/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 60-day DL (7/21)

Toronto Blue Jays

09/27/16 2B Devon Travis Shoulder injured last game, "?" Tuesday vs. Baltimore Orioles
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)

Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles

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