Friday, July 1, 2016

Safeco Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman vs. Wade LeBlanc

The Baltimore Orioles visit Safeco Field on Friday to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Kevin Gausman for the Orioles and Wade LeBlanc for the Mariners. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at -101 and Seattle at -109. The over/under was set at 8. The Orioles have a 39-35-3 over/under record and a 46-31-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 60% of the time. The Mariners are 37-41-0 against the run line and have a 37-36-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.

The Orioles head into this matchup with a 47-30 record, including 16-17 on the road. Starting pitcher Kevin Gausman has a 1-5 record with an earned run average of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.27. He has 69 strikeouts over his 75.2 innings pitched and he has given up 78 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.23. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.15 and they have given up 243 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the bullpen while being struck out 238 times and walking 102 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.17 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.6 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 696 base hits and 322 earned runs. They have allowed 86 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 256 batters and struck out 577. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.34.

As a team, Baltimore is batting .273, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .268 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .474 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.38 hits per game. Manny Machado comes into this game hitting .332 and his on-base percentage is at .390. He has 99 hits this season along with 58 runs scored and 49 runs batted in. He's struck out 57 times and has walked 27 times. Mark Trumbo is hitting .282 and he has an on-base percentage of .332. He has totaled 87 hits so far while scoring 45 runs and he's driven in 60. He has walked 21 times and has struck out 88 times. The Orioles have 722 hits, including 153 doubles and 124 home runs. They've stolen 12 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Baltimore has walked 236 times this season and they've struck out 651 times as a unit. They've left 510 men on base and have a team OPS of .808. They score 5.19 runs per contest and have scored a total of 400 runs so far this year.

Seattle comes into this matchup with a 18-20 home record and a 39-39 overall mark. With an earned run average of 0.00, Wade LeBlanc has a 0-0 record and a 0.67 WHIP. He has 3 strikeouts over the 6 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 3 hits. He has allowed 4.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.66. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.37 and they have given up 213 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 279 times and walking 96 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.64 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.56 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.90. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 673 base knocks and 304 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 99 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 238 hitters and struck out 667. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.23.

As a team, they are batting .261, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .252 average at home. The Mariners hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 9.01 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this matchup batting .280 and he has an OBP of .363. He has 81 hits this year along with 46 runs scored and 53 RBI. He's struck out 78 times and has walked on 33 occasions. Robinson Cano is hitting .305 and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 98 hits so far while he's scored 55 runs and drove in 54. He has earned a walk 24 times and has punched out 51 times. The Mariners as a unit have 703 base hits, including 115 doubles and 113 homers. They have 24 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. Seattle as a team has walked 239 times this year and they have struck out 591 times. They've had 518 men left on base and have an OPS of .763. They score 4.82 runs per game and have totaled 376 runs so far this season.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 39-35-3 against the over/under so far this season

The Baltimore Orioles are 46-31-0 against the run line so far this season

Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Seattle Mariners are 37-36-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Seattle Mariners are 37-41-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Baltimore Orioles

06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
06/14/16 P Vance Worley Groin 15-day DL (6/13)
06/04/16 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 15-day DL (6/3)
05/31/16 C Caleb Joseph Groin 15-day DL (5/30)

Seattle Mariners

06/30/16 P Nick Vincent Back 15-day DL (6/27)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 15-day DL
06/29/16 P Taijuan Walker Foot is upgraded to expected to start Thursday vs. Baltimore Orioles
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 15-day DL (6/24)
06/01/16 P Felix Hernandez Calf 15-day DL (5/28)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles

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