Tuesday, July 19, 2016

Yankee Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Vance Worley vs. Nathan Eovaldi

The Baltimore Orioles visit Yankee Stadium on Tuesday to play the New York Yankees. The probable starters are Vance Worley for the Orioles and Nathan Eovaldi for the Yankees. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +115 and New York at -125. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Orioles have a 45-42-3 over/under record and a 50-40-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Yankees are 41-50-0 against the run line and have a 40-42-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.

The Orioles head into this matchup with a 53-37 record, including 20-23 on the road. Starting pitcher Vance Worley has a 2-0 record with an earned run average of 2.87 and a WHIP of 1.36. He has 34 strikeouts over his 47 innings pitched and he has given up 49 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.9. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.04 and they have given up 282 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the bullpen while being struck out 287 times and walking 127 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.17 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.55 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 814 base hits and 383 earned runs. They have allowed 103 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 316 batters and struck out 670. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.45.

As a team, Baltimore is batting .270, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .262 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .464 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.36 hits per game. Manny Machado comes into this game hitting .312 and his on-base percentage is at .369. He has 110 hits this season along with 63 runs scored and 54 runs batted in. He's struck out 68 times and has walked 31 times. Mark Trumbo is hitting .287 and he has an on-base percentage of .339. He has totaled 103 hits so far while scoring 55 runs and he's driven in 68. He has walked 26 times and has struck out 102 times. The Orioles have 842 hits, including 174 doubles and 141 home runs. They've stolen 12 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. Baltimore has walked 268 times this season and they've struck out 765 times as a unit. They've left 607 men on base and have a team OPS of .795. They score 5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 450 runs so far this year.

New York comes into this matchup with a 24-20 home record and a 45-46 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.11, Nathan Eovaldi has a 7-6 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He has 81 strikeouts over the 98.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 104 hits. He has allowed 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.02. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.63 and they have given up 224 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .217 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 331 times and walking 79 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.78 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.02 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 779 base knocks and 391 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 121 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 222 hitters and struck out 800. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 4.08.

As a team, they are batting .250, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .249 average at home. The Yankees hold a .395 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.45 hits per contest. Carlos Beltran comes into this matchup batting .297 and he has an OBP of .334. He has 92 hits this year along with 45 runs scored and 58 RBI. He's struck out 60 times and has walked on 17 occasions. Jacoby Ellsbury is hitting .275 and he has an OBP of .342. He has collected 84 hits so far while he's scored 38 runs and drove in 30. He has earned a walk 30 times and has punched out 43 times. The Yankees as a unit have 769 base hits, including 137 doubles and 95 homers. They have 45 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 13 times. New York as a team has walked 258 times this year and they have struck out 622 times. They've had 612 men left on base and have an OPS of .706. They score 4.16 runs per game and have totaled 379 runs so far this season.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 45-42-3 against the over/under so far this season

The Baltimore Orioles are 50-40-0 against the run line so far this season

New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees are 40-42-9 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Yankees are 41-50-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Baltimore Orioles

07/17/16 LF Hyun-soo Kim Hamstring "?" Monday vs. New York Yankees
07/01/16 P T.J. McFarland Knee 15-day DL (6/29)
06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
06/04/16 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 15-day DL (6/3)

New York Yankees

06/10/16 1B Chris Parmelee Hamstring 15-day DL (6/10)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles

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