Saturday, April 23, 2016

Kauffman Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Vance Worley vs. Kris Medlen

The Baltimore Orioles visit Kauffman Stadium on Saturday to play the Kansas City Royals. The probable starters are Vance Worley for the Orioles and Kris Medlen for the Royals. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at -109 and Kansas City at -111. The over/under was set at 8. The Orioles have a 5-8-1 over/under record and a 9-5-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 64% of the time. The Royals are 9-6-0 against the run line and have a 3-11-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 60% of the time.

The Orioles head into this matchup with a 10-4 record, including 3-3 on the road. Starting pitcher Vance Worley has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.31. He has 11 strikeouts over his 10.2 innings pitched and he has given up 11 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.53. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 1.94 and they have given up 38 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the bullpen while being struck out 53 times and walking 20 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.27 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.42 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 3.63. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 114 base hits and 50 earned runs. They have allowed 8 home runs this season and they allow 0.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 47 batters and struck out 116. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 3.26.

As a team, Baltimore is batting .285, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .286 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .510 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .352 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.64 hits per game. Chris Davis comes into this game hitting .208 and his on-base percentage is at .397. He has 10 hits this season along with 14 runs scored and 11 runs batted in. He's struck out 18 times and has walked 15 times. Manny Machado is hitting .407 and he has an on-base percentage of .462. He has totaled 24 hits so far while scoring 13 runs and he's driven in 9. He has walked 5 times and has struck out 10 times. The Orioles have 135 hits, including 31 doubles and 25 home runs. They've stolen 3 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 2 times. Baltimore has walked 48 times this season and they've struck out 115 times as a unit. They've left 94 men on base and have a team OPS of .862. They score 5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 70 runs so far this year.

Kansas City comes into this matchup with a 6-2 home record and a 10-5 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.38, Kris Medlen has a 1-0 record and a 1.41 WHIP. He has 11 strikeouts over the 11.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 8 hits. He has allowed 6.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.21. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.04 and they have given up 41 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the Royals bullpen while being struck out 53 times and walking 21 times this season. As a team, Kansas City has allowed 7.65 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.07 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 2.91. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 113 base knocks and 43 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 10 home runs this year and they give up 0.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Kansas City as a staff has walked 61 hitters and struck out 134. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 3.48.

As a team, they are batting .261, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .259 average at home. The Royals hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.87 hits per contest. Eric Hosmer comes into this matchup batting .305 and he has an OBP of .349. He has 18 hits this year along with 7 runs scored and 5 RBI. He's struck out 10 times and has walked on 4 occasions. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .222 and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 12 hits so far while he's scored 9 runs and drove in 7. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 18 times. The Royals as a unit have 133 base hits, including 21 doubles and 14 homers. They have 12 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 2 times. Kansas City as a team has walked 41 times this year and they have struck out 112 times. They've had 108 men left on base and have an OPS of .716. They score 3.8 runs per game and have totaled 57 runs so far this season.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 5-8-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Baltimore Orioles are 9-5-0 against the run line so far this season

Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Kansas City Royals are 3-11-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Kansas City Royals are 9-6-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Baltimore Orioles

04/01/16 P Brian Matusz Back 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 3B Jimmy Paredes Wrist 15-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Kevin Gausman Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)

Kansas City Royals

04/10/16 P Mike Minor Shoulder 60-day DL (3/15)
04/04/16 P Tim Collins Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
03/31/16 P Jason Vargas Elbow 60-day DL (3/15)

Tony's Pick: Take the Royals

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