Tuesday, May 24, 2016

Minute Maid Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Chris Tillman vs. Doug Fister

The Baltimore Orioles visit Minute Maid Park on Tuesday to play the Houston Astros. The probable starters are Chris Tillman for the Orioles and Doug Fister for the Astros. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +106 and Houston at -116. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Orioles have a 20-20-2 over/under record and a 23-19-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 55% of the time. The Astros are 18-27-0 against the run line and have a 23-17-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 40% of the time.

The Orioles head into this matchup with a 26-16 record, including 9-8 on the road. Starting pitcher Chris Tillman has a 6-1 record with an earned run average of 2.61 and a WHIP of 1.16. He has 53 strikeouts over his 51.2 innings pitched and he has given up 39 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.86. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.67 and they have given up 118 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen while being struck out 120 times and walking 49 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.59 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.52 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.80. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 355 base hits and 157 earned runs. They have allowed 32 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 137 batters and struck out 311. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 3.75.

As a team, Baltimore is batting .262, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .262 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .449 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 8.81 hits per game. Manny Machado comes into this game hitting .308 and his on-base percentage is at .367. He has 53 hits this season along with 33 runs scored and 26 runs batted in. He's struck out 32 times and has walked 15 times. Mark Trumbo is hitting .293 and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 48 hits so far while scoring 24 runs and he's driven in 31. He has walked 11 times and has struck out 46 times. The Orioles have 370 hits, including 72 doubles and 63 home runs. They've stolen 6 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 6 times. Baltimore has walked 126 times this season and they've struck out 335 times as a unit. They've left 270 men on base and have a team OPS of .774. They score 4.55 runs per contest and have scored a total of 191 runs so far this year.

Houston comes into this matchup with a 10-13 home record and a 17-28 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.22, Doug Fister has a 4-3 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 27 strikeouts over the 49 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 48 hits. He has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.54. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.79 and they have given up 134 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Astros bullpen while being struck out 156 times and walking 30 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 9.51 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.76 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.54. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 429 base knocks and 205 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 50 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a staff has walked 114 hitters and struck out 350. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 3.83.

As a team, they are batting .229, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .228 average at home. The Astros hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 7.73 hits per contest. Jose Altuve comes into this matchup batting .328 and he has an OBP of .413. He has 58 hits this year along with 39 runs scored and 27 RBI. He's struck out 21 times and has walked on 24 occasions. Carlos Correa is hitting .253 and he has an OBP of .349. He has collected 43 hits so far while he's scored 22 runs and drove in 20. He has earned a walk 23 times and has punched out 49 times. The Astros as a unit have 348 base hits, including 88 doubles and 56 homers. They have 39 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 14 times. Houston as a team has walked 174 times this year and they have struck out 445 times. They've had 305 men left on base and have an OPS of .713. They score 4.04 runs per game and have totaled 182 runs so far this season.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 20-20-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Baltimore Orioles are 23-19-0 against the run line so far this season

Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 23-17-5 against the over/under so far this season

The Houston Astros are 18-27-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Baltimore Orioles

05/03/16 SS J.J. Hardy Foot 15-day DL (5/2)
04/23/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)

Houston Astros

05/17/16 CF Carlos Gomez Ribs 15-day DL (5/16)

Tony's Pick: Take the Astros

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