Friday, May 27, 2016

Progressive Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Mike Wright vs. Trevor Bauer

The Baltimore Orioles visit Progressive Field on Friday to play the Cleveland Indians. The probable starters are Mike Wright for the Orioles and Trevor Bauer for the Indians. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +111 and Cleveland at -121. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Orioles have a 20-22-2 over/under record and a 24-20-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 55% of the time. The Indians are 21-24-0 against the run line and have a 23-18-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.

The Orioles head into this matchup with a 26-18 record, including 9-10 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Wright has a 2-3 record with an earned run average of 4.97 and a WHIP of 1.37. He has 30 strikeouts over his 41.2 innings pitched and he has given up 43 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.19. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.60 and they have given up 125 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen while being struck out 129 times and walking 51 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.52 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.55 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.74. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 371 base hits and 163 earned runs. They have allowed 35 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 142 batters and struck out 329. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 3.78.

As a team, Baltimore is batting .260, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .257 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.84 hits per game. Manny Machado comes into this game hitting .307 and his on-base percentage is at .377. He has 55 hits this season along with 35 runs scored and 27 runs batted in. He's struck out 35 times and has walked 19 times. Mark Trumbo is hitting .280 and he has an on-base percentage of .330. He has totaled 49 hits so far while scoring 25 runs and he's driven in 31. He has walked 11 times and has struck out 52 times. The Orioles have 389 hits, including 79 doubles and 65 home runs. They've stolen 8 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 6 times. Baltimore has walked 135 times this season and they've struck out 372 times as a unit. They've left 293 men on base and have a team OPS of .768. They score 4.45 runs per contest and have scored a total of 196 runs so far this year.

Cleveland comes into this matchup with a 11-8 home record and a 25-20 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.31, Trevor Bauer has a 3-2 record and a 1.34 WHIP. He has 37 strikeouts over the 39.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 37 hits. He has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.3. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.53 and they have given up 117 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 131 times and walking 61 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 7.97 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.41 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 3.81. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 360 base knocks and 172 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 52 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 136 hitters and struck out 380. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 3.95.

As a team, they are batting .251, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .281 average at home. The Indians hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.64 hits per contest. Jason Kipnis comes into this matchup batting .279 and he has an OBP of .327. He has 50 hits this year along with 25 runs scored and 27 RBI. He's struck out 43 times and has walked on 14 occasions. Francisco Lindor is hitting .318 and he has an OBP of .372. He has collected 57 hits so far while he's scored 29 runs and drove in 20. He has earned a walk 15 times and has punched out 27 times. The Indians as a unit have 389 base hits, including 80 doubles and 47 homers. They have 32 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 8 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 150 times this year and they have struck out 380 times. They've had 296 men left on base and have an OPS of .723. They score 4.76 runs per game and have totaled 214 runs so far this season.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 20-22-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Baltimore Orioles are 24-20-0 against the run line so far this season

Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Cleveland Indians are 23-18-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Cleveland Indians are 21-24-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Baltimore Orioles

05/03/16 SS J.J. Hardy Foot 15-day DL (5/2)
04/23/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)

Cleveland Indians

05/24/16 P Joba Chamberlain Side 15-day DL (5/22)
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 15-day DL (5/10)
05/02/16 C Roberto Perez Thumb 60-day DL (5/2)
04/25/16 P Carlos Carrasco Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24)

Guy's Pick: Take the Indians

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn