Wednesday, April 13, 2016

Fenway Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Ubaldo Jimenez vs. Joe Kelly

The Baltimore Orioles visit Fenway Park on Wednesday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Ubaldo Jimenez for the Orioles and Joe Kelly for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +134 and Boston at -144. The over/under was set at 9. The Orioles have a 1-4-1 over/under record and a 5-1-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 83% of the time. The Red Sox are 4-2-0 against the run line and have a 5-1-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 67% of the time.

The Orioles head into this matchup with a 6-0 record, including 1-0 on the road. Starting pitcher Ubaldo Jimenez held a 12-10 record with an earned run average of 4.11 and a WHIP of 1.36 last season. He had 168 strikeouts over his 184 innings pitched and he also gave up 182 hits over that time period. He allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.01. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 1.78 and they have given up 17 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .189 against the bullpen while being struck out 31 times and walking 10 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.33 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 2.67. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 45 base hits and 15 earned runs. They have allowed 5 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 17 batters and struck out 62. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 3.25.

As a team, Baltimore is batting .291, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .257 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .505 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 9.5 hits per game. Chris Davis comes into this game hitting .227 and his on-base percentage is at .346. He has 5 hits this season along with 7 runs scored and 7 runs batted in. He's struck out 8 times and has walked 4 times. Manny Machado is hitting .458 and he has an on-base percentage of .519. He has totaled 11 hits so far while scoring 7 runs and he's driven in 4. He has walked 2 times and has struck out 6 times. The Orioles have 57 hits, including 12 doubles, 0 triples, and 10 home runs. They've stolen 1 base while they've been thrown out stealing 0 times. Baltimore has walked 17 times this season and they've struck out 48 times as a unit. They've left 36 men on base and have a team OPS of .852. They score 5.17 runs per contest and have scored a total of 31 runs so far this year.

Boston comes into this matchup with a 0-1 home record and a 3-3 overall mark. With an earned run average last season of 4.82, Joe Kelly had a 10-6 record and a 1.44 WHIP. He had 110 strikeouts over the 134.1 innings he pitched during which he gave up 145 hits. He allowed 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.18. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.95 and they have given up 10 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .141 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 23 times and walking 9 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 7.96 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.56 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 5.37. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 46 base knocks and 31 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 8 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 23 hitters and struck out 61. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.44.

As a team, they are batting .281, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .306 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .461 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 10.17 hits per contest. David Ortiz comes into this matchup batting .318 and he has an OBP of .375. He has 7 hits this year along with 3 runs scored and 6 RBI. He's struck out 4 times and has walked on 2 occasions. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .231 and he has an OBP of .310. He has collected 6 hits so far while he's scored 6 runs and drove in 2. He has earned a walk 3 times and has punched out 7 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 61 base hits, including 16 doubles, 1 triples, and 7 homers. They have 4 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 1 times. Boston as a team has walked 22 times this year and they have struck out 55 times. They've had 45 men left on base and have an OPS of .804. They score 5.83 runs per game and have totaled 35 runs so far this season.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 1-4-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Baltimore Orioles are 5-1-0 against the run line so far this season

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 5-1-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 4-2-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Baltimore Orioles

04/11/16 CF Adam Jones Ribs "?" Tuesday vs. Boston Red Sox
04/01/16 P Brian Matusz Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
03/31/16 3B Jimmy Paredes Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
03/30/16 P Kevin Gausman Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)

Boston Red Sox

04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/04/16 P Carson Smith Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/2)
04/03/16 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox

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