Monday, June 6, 2016

Petco Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Williams Perez vs. Christian Friedrich

The Atlanta Braves head to Petco Park on Monday to take on the San Diego Padres. The probable pitchers are Williams Perez for the Braves and Christian Friedrich for the Padres. The opening line for this game has Atlanta at +128 and San Diego at -138. The over/under is 8. The Braves have a 24-25-6 over/under mark and a 22-33-0 run line record, meaning they cover 40% of the time. The Padres are 36-21-0 against the run line and have a 28-28-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 63% of the time.

The Braves head into this game with a 16-39 record, and they are 10-16 on the road. Starting pitcher Williams Perez has a 2-1 record with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.17. He has 21 strikeouts during his 44.1 innings pitched and he has given up 38 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.07. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.30 and they have allowed 182 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the pen while they've been struck out 198 times and walked 90 times this year. As a unit, Atlanta has given up 8.55 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.72 hitters per nine. They are 20th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.30. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 473 base hits and 238 earned runs. They have allowed 57 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 193 batters and struck out 427. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.20.

As a team, Atlanta is hitting .225, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .228 average on the road. The Braves have a .310 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .292 which is good for 28th in the league. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.56 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .237 and his on-base percentage is at .336. He has 47 hits this season along with 18 runs scored and 29 runs batted in. He's struck out 38 times and has walked 29 times. Freddie Freeman is hitting .250 and he has an on-base percentage of .343. He has totaled 51 hits so far while scoring 26 runs and he's driven in 16. He has walked 25 times and has struck out 60 times. The Braves have 416 hits, including 77 doubles and 22 home runs. They've stolen 24 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Atlanta has walked 161 times this season and they've struck out 437 times as a unit. They've left 382 men on base and have a team OPS of .602. They score 3.05 runs per contest and have scored a total of 168 runs so far this year.

San Diego comes into this game with a 13-16 home mark and a 23-34 overall record. With an ERA of 2.53, Christian Friedrich has a 2-1 record and a 1.69 WHIP. He has 15 strikeouts over the 21.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 22 hits. He has allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.29. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.93 and they have given up 199 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 199 times and walking 96 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.71 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.21 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.45. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 499 base knocks and 255 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 61 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 233 hitters and struck out 470. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.32.

As a team, they are batting .237, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .232 average at home. The Padres hold a .379 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .291 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.11 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this matchup batting .279 and he has an OBP of .312. He has 61 hits this year along with 32 runs scored and 28 RBI. He's struck out 53 times and has walked on 12 occasions. Jon Jay is hitting .300 and he has an OBP of .348. He has collected 65 hits so far while he's scored 27 runs and drove in 18. He has earned a walk 14 times and has punched out 50 times. The Padres as a unit have 462 base hits, including 91 doubles and 57 homers. They have 36 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 13 times. San Diego as a team has walked 142 times this year and they have struck out 523 times. They've had 352 men left on base and have an OPS of .671. They score 4.02 runs per game and have totaled 229 runs so far this season.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 24-25-6 against the over/under so far this season

The Atlanta Braves are 22-33-0 against the run line so far this season

San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The San Diego Padres are 28-28-1 against the over/under so far this season

The San Diego Padres are 36-21-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Atlanta Braves

06/03/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Elbow 15-day DL (6/1)
06/02/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
05/29/16 SS Erick Aybar Foot 15-day DL (5/28)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)

San Diego Padres

05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)

Josh's Pick: Take the Padres

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