Sunday, September 4, 2016

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Julio Teheran vs. Jake Thompson

The Atlanta Braves head to Citizens Bank Park on Sunday to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable pitchers are Julio Teheran for the Braves and Jake Thompson for the Phillies. The opening line for this game has Atlanta at -135 and Philadelphia at +125. The over/under is 8.5. The Braves have a 66-61-8 over/under mark and a 69-66-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Phillies are 68-66-0 against the run line and have a 67-63-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.

The Braves head into this game with a 52-83 record, and they are 30-39 on the road. Starting pitcher Julio Teheran has a 4-9 record with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.02. He has 136 strikeouts during his 152.2 innings pitched and he has given up 124 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.73. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.22 and they have allowed 456 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the pen while they've been struck out 454 times and walked 216 times this year. As a unit, Atlanta has given up 8.81 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.6 hitters per nine. They are 24th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.56. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 1,190 base hits and 616 earned runs. They have allowed 153 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 463 batters and struck out 1,027. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.37.

As a team, Atlanta is hitting .249, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .246 average on the road. The Braves have a .373 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .315 which is good for 22nd in the league. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.5 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this game hitting .292 and his on-base percentage is at .392. He has 145 hits this season along with 83 runs scored and 70 runs batted in. He's struck out 142 times and has walked 75 times. Nick Markakis is hitting .268 and he has an on-base percentage of .343. He has totaled 136 hits so far while scoring 53 runs and he's driven in 74. He has walked 60 times and has struck out 88 times. The Braves have 1,147 hits, including 245 doubles and 94 home runs. They've stolen 62 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 31 times. Atlanta has walked 421 times this season and they've struck out 1,017 times as a unit. They've left 966 men on base and have a team OPS of .688. They score 3.83 runs per contest and have scored a total of 517 runs so far this year.

Philadelphia comes into this game with a 30-37 home mark and a 60-74 overall record. With an ERA of 7.86, Jake Thompson has a 1-4 record and a 1.63 WHIP. He has 16 strikeouts over the 26.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 29 hits. He has allowed 9.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.6. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.47 and they have given up 444 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 421 times and walking 159 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.29 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,221 base knocks and 603 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 179 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 369 hitters and struck out 1,094. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.29.

As a team, they are batting .238, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .224 average at home. The Phillies hold a .385 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.96 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .280 and he has an OBP of .356. He has 137 hits this year along with 68 runs scored and 42 RBI. He's struck out 110 times and has walked on 56 occasions. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .286 and he has an OBP of .352. He has collected 126 hits so far while he's scored 52 runs and drove in 34. He has earned a walk 46 times and has punched out 94 times. The Phillies as a unit have 1,067 base hits, including 193 doubles and 135 homers. They have 72 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 35 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 335 times this year and they have struck out 1,095 times. They've had 837 men left on base and have an OPS of .681. They score 3.7 runs per game and have totaled 496 runs so far this season.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 66-61-8 against the over/under so far this season

The Atlanta Braves are 69-66-0 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 67-63-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 68-66-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Atlanta Braves

09/03/16 P Matt Wisler Oblique injured last start, "?" for next start
09/02/16 P Eric O'Flaherty Elbow 60-day DL (8/18)
08/31/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Shoulder 15-day DL (8/29)
08/26/16 P Rob Whalen Shoulder 15-day DL (8/25)
08/01/16 P Matt Marksberry Shoulder 15-day DL (7/31)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 60-day DL (6/20)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season

Philadelphia Phillies

08/17/16 P Aaron Nola Elbow 60-day DL (7/29); out for season
08/09/16 P Zach Eflin Knee 60-day DL (8/9); out for season
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)

Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies

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