Saturday, May 21, 2016

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Williams Perez vs. Adam Morgan

The Atlanta Braves visit Citizens Bank Park on Saturday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Williams Perez for the Braves and Adam Morgan for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +126 and Philadelphia at -136. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Braves have a 20-16-4 over/under record and a 15-25-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 38% of the time. The Phillies are 22-19-0 against the run line and have a 17-22-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.

The Braves head into this matchup with a 10-30 record, including 8-13 on the road. Starting pitcher Williams Perez has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 4.78 and a WHIP of 1.29. He has 12 strikeouts over his 26.1 innings pitched and he has given up 24 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.43. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.72 and they have given up 140 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the bullpen while being struck out 149 times and walking 67 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 9.11 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.73 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.65. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 364 base hits and 186 earned runs. They have allowed 42 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 138 batters and struck out 309. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 4.20.

As a team, Atlanta is batting .235, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .234 average away from home. The Braves hold a .318 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8 hits per game. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .257 and his on-base percentage is at .364. He has 38 hits this season along with 14 runs scored and 22 runs batted in. He's struck out 28 times and has walked 24 times. Freddie Freeman is hitting .267 and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 39 hits so far while scoring 17 runs and he's driven in 11. He has walked 19 times and has struck out 43 times. The Braves have 320 hits, including 63 doubles and 15 home runs. They've stolen 18 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Atlanta has walked 113 times this season and they've struck out 326 times as a unit. They've left 280 men on base and have a team OPS of .616. They score 3.2 runs per contest and have scored a total of 128 runs so far this year.

Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 12-7 home record and a 24-17 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.41, Adam Morgan has a 1-1 record and a 1.53 WHIP. He has 14 strikeouts over the 19.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 23 hits. He has allowed 10.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.06. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.91 and they have given up 121 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 134 times and walking 56 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 7.99 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.79. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 325 base knocks and 154 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 46 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 118 hitters and struck out 374. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.21 while their FIP as a staff is 3.70.

As a team, they are batting .235, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .231 average at home. The Phillies hold a .362 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.61 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .333 and he has an OBP of .443. He has 48 hits this year along with 25 runs scored and 13 RBI. He's struck out 29 times and has walked on 29 occasions. Maikel Franco is hitting .243 and he has an OBP of .285. He has collected 37 hits so far while he's scored 12 runs and drove in 23. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 31 times. The Phillies as a unit have 312 base hits, including 56 doubles and 31 homers. They have 16 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 106 times this year and they have struck out 322 times. They've had 246 men left on base and have an OPS of .655. They score 3.32 runs per game and have totaled 136 runs so far this season.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 20-16-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Atlanta Braves are 15-25-0 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 17-22-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 22-19-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Atlanta Braves

05/20/16 SS Erick Aybar Throat "?" Friday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
05/11/16 P Jim Johnson Groin 15-day DL (5/9)
04/13/16 2B Hector Olivera Legal problems out indefinitely
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Manuel Banuelos Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)

Philadelphia Phillies

05/18/16 CF Odubel Herrera Back "?" Friday vs Atlanta Braves
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
04/03/16 P Mario Hollands Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Cody Asche Ribs 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)

Josh's Pick: Take the Braves

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