Tuesday, September 20, 2016

Citi Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Julio Teheran vs. Robert Gsellman

The Atlanta Braves visit Citi Field on Tuesday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Julio Teheran for the Braves and Robert Gsellman for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at -108 and New York at -102. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Braves have a 77-64-8 over/under record and a 76-73-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Mets are 70-79-0 against the run line and have a 66-80-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.

The Braves head into this matchup with a 58-91 record, including 32-42 on the road. Starting pitcher Julio Teheran has a 5-10 record with an earned run average of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.04. He has 151 strikeouts over his 170 innings pitched and he has given up 139 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.76. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.07 and they have given up 505 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen while being struck out 507 times and walking 238 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.87 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.63 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.60. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 1,322 base hits and 685 earned runs. They have allowed 166 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 508 batters and struck out 1,137. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.33.

As a team, Atlanta is batting .254, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .247 average away from home. The Braves hold a .381 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.71 hits per game. Freddie Freeman comes into this game hitting .297 and his on-base percentage is at .394. He has 163 hits this season along with 91 runs scored and 80 runs batted in. He's struck out 157 times and has walked 81 times. Nick Markakis is hitting .272 and he has an on-base percentage of .347. He has totaled 153 hits so far while scoring 62 runs and he's driven in 86. He has walked 66 times and has struck out 96 times. The Braves have 1,298 hits, including 280 doubles and 108 home runs. They've stolen 65 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 33 times. Atlanta has walked 463 times this season and they've struck out 1,130 times as a unit. They've left 1,080 men on base and have a team OPS of .701. They score 3.95 runs per contest and have scored a total of 588 runs so far this year.

New York comes into this matchup with a 41-33 home record and a 80-69 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.08, Robert Gsellman has a 2-1 record and a 1.41 WHIP. He has 21 strikeouts over the 26.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 27 hits. He has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.29. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.52 and they have given up 418 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 503 times and walking 168 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.63 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.63 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.53. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,274 base knocks and 519 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 138 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 400 hitters and struck out 1,275. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 3.55.

As a team, they are batting .242, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .235 average at home. The Mets hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.11 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .276 and he has an OBP of .329. He has 130 hits this year along with 59 runs scored and 49 RBI. He's struck out 98 times and has walked on 31 occasions. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .289 and he has an OBP of .359. He has collected 125 hits so far while he's scored 64 runs and drove in 81. He has earned a walk 45 times and has punched out 99 times. The Mets as a unit have 1,208 base hits, including 213 doubles and 202 homers. They have 37 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. New York as a team has walked 461 times this year and they have struck out 1,213 times. They've had 1,016 men left on base and have an OPS of .724. They score 3.93 runs per game and have totaled 585 runs so far this season.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 77-64-8 against the over/under so far this season

The Atlanta Braves are 76-73-0 against the run line so far this season

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 66-80-3 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 70-79-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Atlanta Braves

09/18/16 P Rob Whalen Shoulder 60-day DL (8/25)
09/17/16 C A.J. Pierzynski Hamstring 60-day DL (9/11)
09/14/16 C Williams Perez Tricep "?" for next start
09/13/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Calf "?" for next start
09/04/16 P Aaron Blair Knee 15-day DL (8/29)
09/02/16 P Eric O'Flaherty Elbow 60-day DL (8/18)
08/31/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Shoulder 15-day DL (8/29)
08/01/16 P Matt Marksberry Shoulder 60-day DL (7/31)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season

New York Mets

09/18/16 LF Yoenis Cespedes Dizziness left last game, "?" Monday vs. Atlanta Braves
09/18/16 P Jon Niese Knee 60-day DL (8/24)
09/17/16 3B Wilmer Flores Wrist "?" Saturday vs. Minnesota Twins
09/17/16 P Jacob deGrom Forearm out for season
09/03/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
08/31/16 2B Neil Walker Back 60-day DL, out for season
08/27/16 RF Justin Ruggiano Shoulder 60-day DL (8/27)
08/23/16 P Steven Matz Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves

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