Tuesday, May 3, 2016

Citi Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Matt Wisler vs. Matt Harvey

The Atlanta Braves visit Citi Field on Tuesday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Matt Wisler for the Braves and Matt Harvey for the Mets. The Braves have a 14-7-3 over/under record and a 11-13-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Mets are 11-12-0 against the run line and have a 13-9-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.

The Braves head into this matchup with a 6-18 record, including 5-6 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Wisler has a 0-2 record with an earned run average of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.07. He has 19 strikeouts over his 25.1 innings pitched and he has given up 20 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.69. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.13 and they have given up 88 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the bullpen while being struck out 89 times and walking 50 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 9.04 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.04 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.90. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 216 base hits and 117 earned runs. They have allowed 25 home runs this season and they allow 1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 97 batters and struck out 192. They walk 4.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.26.

As a team, Atlanta is batting .226, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .218 average away from home. The Braves hold a .287 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 7.62 hits per game. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .295 and his on-base percentage is at .406. He has 26 hits this season along with 10 runs scored and 20 runs batted in. He's struck out 15 times and has walked 15 times. Adonis Garcia is hitting .273 and he has an on-base percentage of .340. He has totaled 24 hits so far while scoring 7 runs and he's driven in 7. He has walked 7 times and has struck out 18 times. The Braves have 183 hits, including 34 doubles and 5 home runs. They've stolen 10 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 7 times. Atlanta has walked 77 times this season and they've struck out 204 times as a unit. They've left 171 men on base and have a team OPS of .585. They score 3.29 runs per contest and have scored a total of 79 runs so far this year.

New York comes into this matchup with a 7-5 home record and a 15-8 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.76, Matt Harvey has a 2-3 record and a 1.52 WHIP. He has 21 strikeouts over the 28.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 34 hits. He has allowed 10.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.56. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.84 and they have given up 67 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 85 times and walking 27 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.41 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 2.92. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 202 base knocks and 67 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 11 home runs this year and they give up 0.5 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 59 hitters and struck out 216. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 2.57.

As a team, they are batting .256, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .234 average at home. The Mets hold a .446 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.74 hits per contest. Neil Walker comes into this matchup batting .315 and he has an OBP of .344. He has 29 hits this year along with 13 runs scored and 19 RBI. He's struck out 19 times and has walked on 4 occasions. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .296 and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 24 hits so far while he's scored 9 runs and drove in 7. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 15 times. The Mets as a unit have 201 base hits, including 42 doubles and 33 homers. They have 5 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 4 times. New York as a team has walked 79 times this year and they have struck out 198 times. They've had 170 men left on base and have an OPS of .777. They score 4.7 runs per game and have totaled 108 runs so far this season.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 14-7-3 against the over/under so far this season

The Atlanta Braves are 11-13-0 against the run line so far this season

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 13-9-1 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 11-12-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Atlanta Braves

04/18/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (4/17)
04/13/16 2B Hector Olivera Legal problems out indefinitely
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/11/16 RF Ender Inciarte Hamstring 15-day DL (4/9)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Manuel Banuelos Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)

New York Mets

04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Joshua Edgin Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Tony's Pick: Take the Mets

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