Wednesday, July 27, 2016

Target Field

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Probable Pitchers: Mike Foltynewicz vs. Tyler Duffey

The Atlanta Braves visit Target Field on Wednesday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Mike Foltynewicz for the Braves and Tyler Duffey for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +146 and Minnesota at -156. The over/under was set at 9. The Braves have a 43-49-7 over/under record and a 44-55-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Twins are 51-47-0 against the run line and have a 57-35-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.

The Braves head into this matchup with a 33-66 record, including 19-30 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Foltynewicz has a 3-4 record with an earned run average of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.22. He has 55 strikeouts over his 61.2 innings pitched and he has given up 57 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.91. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.26 and they have given up 333 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen while being struck out 333 times and walking 162 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.77 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.66 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.44. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 871 base hits and 441 earned runs. They have allowed 112 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 339 batters and struck out 761. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.34.

As a team, Atlanta is batting .237, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .235 average away from home. The Braves hold a .349 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.09 hits per game. Freddie Freeman comes into this game hitting .275 and his on-base percentage is at .359. He has 102 hits this season along with 49 runs scored and 36 runs batted in. He's struck out 114 times and has walked 43 times. Nick Markakis is hitting .262 and he has an on-base percentage of .341. He has totaled 97 hits so far while scoring 38 runs and he's driven in 49. He has walked 45 times and has struck out 60 times. The Braves have 801 hits, including 162 doubles and 61 home runs. They've stolen 50 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 22 times. Atlanta has walked 284 times this season and they've struck out 761 times as a unit. They've left 702 men on base and have a team OPS of .652. They score 3.38 runs per contest and have scored a total of 335 runs so far this year.

Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 20-29 home record and a 37-61 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.71, Tyler Duffey has a 5-7 record and a 1.46 WHIP. He has 70 strikeouts over the 88.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 107 hits. He has allowed 10.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.64. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.41 and they have given up 352 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 320 times and walking 106 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.03 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.41 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.93. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 967 base knocks and 475 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 133 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 266 hitters and struck out 714. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.47.

As a team, they are batting .251, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .256 average at home. The Twins hold a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.64 hits per contest. Eduardo Nunez comes into this matchup batting .298 and he has an OBP of .324. He has 107 hits this year along with 48 runs scored and 46 RBI. He's struck out 55 times and has walked on 13 occasions. Joe Mauer is hitting .261 and he has an OBP of .362. He has collected 89 hits so far while he's scored 47 runs and drove in 30. He has earned a walk 54 times and has punched out 64 times. The Twins as a unit have 847 base hits, including 171 doubles and 113 homers. They have 63 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 20 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 304 times this year and they have struck out 839 times. They've had 679 men left on base and have an OPS of .731. They score 4.44 runs per game and have totaled 435 runs so far this season.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 43-49-7 against the over/under so far this season

The Atlanta Braves are 44-55-0 against the run line so far this season

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 57-35-6 against the over/under so far this season

The Minnesota Twins are 51-47-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Atlanta Braves

07/23/16 P Julio Teheran Back "?" for next scheduled start Thursday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
07/16/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Oblique 15-day DL (7/15)
07/12/16 C Tyler Flowers Hand 15-day DL (7/10)
06/28/16 P John Gant Oblique 15-day DL (6/27)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 15-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)

Minnesota Twins

07/25/16 C Kurt Suzuki Chin "?" Tuesday vs. Atlanta Braves
07/04/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Ribs 15-day DL (7/1)
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season

Guy's Pick: Take the Braves

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