Tuesday, June 21, 2016

Marlins Park

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Probable Pitchers: Bud Norris vs. Jose Fernandez

The Atlanta Braves visit Marlins Park on Tuesday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Bud Norris for the Braves and Jose Fernandez for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +140 and Miami at -150. The over/under was set at 7. The Braves have a 31-32-6 over/under record and a 30-39-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Marlins are 34-35-0 against the run line and have a 36-32-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.

The Braves head into this matchup with a 23-46 record, including 14-19 on the road. Starting pitcher Bud Norris has a 2-7 record with an earned run average of 4.81 and a WHIP of 1.43. He has 46 strikeouts over his 58 innings pitched and he has given up 57 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.33. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.46 and they have given up 231 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen while being struck out 246 times and walking 117 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.86 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.44. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 590 base hits and 308 earned runs. They have allowed 75 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 243 batters and struck out 546. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.23.

As a team, Atlanta is batting .235, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .240 average away from home. The Braves hold a .332 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.03 hits per game. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .242 and his on-base percentage is at .331. He has 62 hits this season along with 25 runs scored and 39 runs batted in. He's struck out 43 times and has walked 34 times. Freddie Freeman is hitting .279 and he has an on-base percentage of .365. He has totaled 72 hits so far while scoring 33 runs and he's driven in 26. He has walked 30 times and has struck out 76 times. The Braves have 554 hits, including 108 doubles and 32 home runs. They've stolen 39 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Atlanta has walked 204 times this season and they've struck out 544 times as a unit. They've left 503 men on base and have a team OPS of .634. They score 3.36 runs per contest and have scored a total of 232 runs so far this year.

Miami comes into this matchup with a 17-16 home record and a 37-32 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.57, Jose Fernandez has a 9-3 record and a 1.04 WHIP. He has 118 strikeouts over the 80.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 59 hits. He has allowed 6.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.01. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.65 and they have given up 193 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 232 times and walking 107 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.39 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.62 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.00. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 572 base knocks and 273 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 56 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 261 hitters and struck out 588. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 3.80.

As a team, they are batting .272, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .259 average at home. The Marlins hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.45 hits per contest. Marcell Ozuna comes into this matchup batting .319 and he has an OBP of .372. He has 82 hits this year along with 42 runs scored and 41 RBI. He's struck out 57 times and has walked on 22 occasions. Martin Prado is hitting .324 and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 84 hits so far while he's scored 31 runs and drove in 22. He has earned a walk 18 times and has punched out 31 times. The Marlins as a unit have 652 base hits, including 115 doubles and 58 homers. They have 18 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 10 times. Miami as a team has walked 195 times this year and they have struck out 517 times. They've had 520 men left on base and have an OPS of .737. They score 4.16 runs per game and have totaled 287 runs so far this season.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 31-32-6 against the over/under so far this season

The Atlanta Braves are 30-39-0 against the run line so far this season

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 36-32-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 34-35-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Atlanta Braves

06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
06/03/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Elbow 15-day DL (6/1)
06/02/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)

Miami Marlins

05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves

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