Wednesday, July 20, 2016

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Lucas Harrell vs. Anthony DeSclafani

The Atlanta Braves visit Great American Ball Park on Wednesday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Lucas Harrell for the Braves and Anthony DeSclafani for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +165 and Cincinnati at -175. The over/under was set at 9. The Braves have a 42-45-6 over/under record and a 42-51-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 45% of the time. The Reds are 45-48-0 against the run line and have a 52-33-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.

The Braves head into this matchup with a 32-61 record, including 18-25 on the road. Starting pitcher Lucas Harrell has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.15. He has 14 strikeouts over his 17.1 innings pitched and he has given up 14 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.92. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.20 and they have given up 306 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen while being struck out 314 times and walking 156 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.68 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.73 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 813 base hits and 407 earned runs. They have allowed 100 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 312 batters and struck out 724. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.22.

As a team, Atlanta is batting .237, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .233 average away from home. The Braves hold a .348 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .301 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.09 hits per game. Freddie Freeman comes into this game hitting .277 and his on-base percentage is at .365. He has 96 hits this season along with 44 runs scored and 34 runs batted in. He's struck out 104 times and has walked 43 times. Nick Markakis is hitting .255 and he has an on-base percentage of .332. He has totaled 89 hits so far while scoring 36 runs and he's driven in 47. He has walked 41 times and has struck out 57 times. The Braves have 752 hits, including 152 doubles and 57 home runs. They've stolen 48 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 21 times. Atlanta has walked 263 times this season and they've struck out 718 times as a unit. They've left 661 men on base and have a team OPS of .649. They score 3.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 315 runs so far this year.

Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 21-26 home record and a 35-58 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.55, Anthony DeSclafani has a 4-0 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 37 strikeouts over the 42.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 44 hits. He has allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.49. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.49 and they have given up 347 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 299 times and walking 186 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.42 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.39 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.39. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 871 base knocks and 498 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 158 home runs this year and they give up 1.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 398 hitters and struck out 683. They give up a walk 4.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.53 while their FIP as a staff is 5.58.

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .236 average at home. The Reds hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.01 hits per contest. Brandon Phillips comes into this matchup batting .261 and he has an OBP of .299. He has 85 hits this year along with 40 runs scored and 34 RBI. He's struck out 46 times and has walked on 13 occasions. Jay Bruce is hitting .264 and he has an OBP of .317. He has collected 87 hits so far while he's scored 49 runs and drove in 64. He has earned a walk 24 times and has punched out 71 times. The Reds as a unit have 744 base hits, including 154 doubles and 101 homers. They have 71 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 32 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 246 times this year and they have struck out 779 times. They've had 529 men left on base and have an OPS of .694. They score 4.2 runs per game and have totaled 391 runs so far this season.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 42-45-6 against the over/under so far this season

The Atlanta Braves are 42-51-0 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 52-33-8 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 45-48-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Atlanta Braves

07/16/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Oblique 15-day DL (7/15)
07/12/16 C Tyler Flowers Hand 15-day DL (7/10)
06/28/16 P John Gant Oblique 15-day DL (6/27)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 15-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)

Cincinnati Reds

06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/16)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves

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