Monday, July 18, 2016

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Matt Wisler vs. Brandon Finnegan

The Atlanta Braves visit Great American Ball Park on Monday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Matt Wisler for the Braves and Brandon Finnegan for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +140 and Cincinnati at -150. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Braves have a 41-44-6 over/under record and a 42-49-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Reds are 43-48-0 against the run line and have a 51-32-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.

The Braves head into this matchup with a 31-60 record, including 18-24 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Wisler has a 4-8 record with an earned run average of 4.47 and a WHIP of 1.28. He has 82 strikeouts over his 106.2 innings pitched and he has given up 107 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.42. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.21 and they have given up 301 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen while being struck out 310 times and walking 152 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.68 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.76 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 797 base hits and 400 earned runs. They have allowed 97 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 305 batters and struck out 712. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.21.

As a team, Atlanta is batting .237, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .233 average away from home. The Braves hold a .348 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.09 hits per game. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .254 and his on-base percentage is at .329. He has 87 hits this season along with 36 runs scored and 47 runs batted in. He's struck out 57 times and has walked 39 times. Freddie Freeman is hitting .280 and he has an on-base percentage of .368. He has totaled 95 hits so far while scoring 44 runs and he's driven in 34. He has walked 42 times and has struck out 98 times. The Braves have 736 hits, including 149 doubles and 56 home runs. They've stolen 45 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 20 times. Atlanta has walked 256 times this season and they've struck out 701 times as a unit. They've left 642 men on base and have a team OPS of .649. They score 3.43 runs per contest and have scored a total of 312 runs so far this year.

Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 19-26 home record and a 33-58 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.71, Brandon Finnegan has a 4-7 record and a 1.41 WHIP. He has 73 strikeouts over the 101.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 90 hits. He has allowed 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.73. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.59 and they have given up 344 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 296 times and walking 184 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.49 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.42 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.48. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 858 base knocks and 496 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 157 home runs this year and they give up 1.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 394 hitters and struck out 671. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.54 while their FIP as a staff is 5.65.

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .236 average at home. The Reds hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 8.01 hits per contest. Jay Bruce comes into this matchup batting .267 and he has an OBP of .320. He has 86 hits this year along with 49 runs scored and 64 RBI. He's struck out 71 times and has walked on 24 occasions. Brandon Phillips is hitting .260 and he has an OBP of .299. He has collected 84 hits so far while he's scored 39 runs and drove in 34. He has earned a walk 13 times and has punched out 45 times. The Reds as a unit have 728 base hits, including 154 doubles and 98 homers. They have 67 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 30 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 241 times this year and they have struck out 765 times. They've had 520 men left on base and have an OPS of .694. They score 4.2 runs per game and have totaled 382 runs so far this season.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 41-44-6 against the over/under so far this season

The Atlanta Braves are 42-49-0 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 51-32-8 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 43-48-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Atlanta Braves

07/16/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Oblique 15-day DL (7/15)
07/12/16 C Tyler Flowers Hand 15-day DL (7/10)
06/28/16 P John Gant Oblique 15-day DL (6/27)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 15-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)

Cincinnati Reds

07/16/16 2B Brandon Phillips Calf "?" Sunday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/16)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves

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