Thursday, July 28, 2016

Miller Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Robbie Ray vs. Zach Davies

The Arizona Diamondbacks head to Miller Park on Thursday to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable pitchers are Robbie Ray for the Diamondbacks and Zach Davies for the Brewers. The opening line for this game has Arizona at +124 and Milwaukee at -134. The over/under is 9. The Diamondbacks have a 53-44-3 over/under mark and a 41-59-0 run line record, meaning they cover 41% of the time. The Brewers are 52-46-0 against the run line and have a 46-46-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.

The Diamondbacks head into this game with a 41-59 record, and they are 24-24 on the road. Starting pitcher Robbie Ray has a 5-9 record with an ERA of 4.53 and a WHIP of 1.51. He has 132 strikeouts during his 109.1 innings pitched and he has given up 122 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.73. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.65 and they have allowed 344 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the pen while they've been struck out 303 times and walked 154 times this year. As a unit, Arizona has given up 9.57 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.06 hitters per nine. They are 27th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.88. The Diamondbacks pitchers have collectively given up 956 base hits and 487 earned runs. They have allowed 120 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 369 batters and struck out 805. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.45.

As a team, Arizona is hitting .264, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .264 average on the road. The Diamondbacks have a .432 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .322 which is good for 17th in the league. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.22 hits per contest. Jean Segura comes into this game hitting .314 and his on-base percentage is at .362. He has 124 hits this season along with 59 runs scored and 39 runs batted in. He's struck out 61 times and has walked 23 times. Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .295 and he has an on-base percentage of .412. He has totaled 106 hits so far while scoring 59 runs and he's driven in 65. He has walked 69 times and has struck out 93 times. The Diamondbacks have 922 hits, including 174 doubles and 113 home runs. They've stolen 69 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 21 times. Arizona has walked 278 times this season and they've struck out 886 times as a unit. They've left 697 men on base and have a team OPS of .754. They score 4.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 440 runs so far this year.

Milwaukee comes into this game with a 26-24 home mark and a 43-55 overall record. With an ERA of 3.64, Zach Davies has a 7-4 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 80 strikeouts over the 99 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 91 hits. He has allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.01. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.90 and they have given up 331 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 309 times and walking 139 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.25 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.30. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 890 base knocks and 414 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 112 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 344 hitters and struck out 712. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.51.

As a team, they are batting .246, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .250 average at home. The Brewers hold a .394 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.08 hits per contest. Jonathan Lucroy comes into this matchup batting .301 and he has an OBP of .362. He has 99 hits this year along with 47 runs scored and 50 RBI. He's struck out 70 times and has walked on 33 occasions. Ryan Braun is hitting .324 and he has an OBP of .386. He has collected 104 hits so far while he's scored 50 runs and drove in 46. He has earned a walk 30 times and has punched out 58 times. The Brewers as a unit have 792 base hits, including 148 doubles and 102 homers. They have 96 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 33 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 366 times this year and they have struck out 943 times. They've had 668 men left on base and have an OPS of .719. They score 4.06 runs per game and have totaled 398 runs so far this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 53-44-3 against the over/under so far this season

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 41-59-0 against the run line so far this season

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 46-46-6 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 52-46-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Arizona Diamondbacks

07/27/16 3B Jake Lamb Hand expected to miss series vs. Milwaukee Brewers
07/24/16 SS Nick Ahmed Hip 15-day DL (7/23)
07/17/16 C Chris Herrmann Hamstring 15-day DL (7/17)
07/07/16 P Andrew Chafin Shoulder 15-day DL (7/4)
07/03/16 P Zack Greinke Oblique 15-day DL (6/29)
06/24/16 CF Socrates Brito Toe 15-day DL (6/23)
06/20/16 RF David Peralta Back 15-day DL (6/19)
05/27/16 P Rubby De La Rosa Elbow 60-day DL (5/26)
04/02/16 CF A.J. Pollock Elbow 60-day DL (4/2), out for season

Milwaukee Brewers

07/25/16 3B Will Middlebrooks Leg 15-day DL (7/25)
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers

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